Did you have a good week? Let's start with the return of the masters on Tuesday. Looking at the market these days, it is not easy as many people feel that the direction of the market is determined, or that there is continuity in momentum sectors, or that strong themes emerge, leading to cyclic trading within those themes. Or everything continues to repeat sequentially, resulting in a confusing market. To sum up the current market situation, it seems that there are various factors contributing to the complexity of the market. Therefore, individual investors may wonder why they bought stock A and it went up, then they bought stock B, but the next day stock A dropped. They may question if they made a wrong choice and switch back to stock B.

As I go down, the next day, I'm thinking about what I should catch this time.
It's circulating so fast that I feel like I need to catch something.
The most important point is that there is no sustainability in those items, in those sectors.
When I say there is no sustainability, it means that today is different, tomorrow is different, and the day after tomorrow is different.
So, we need to analyze how the market went today, analyze for tomorrow, and analyze different markets every day.
Because we need to consistently analyze different markets, many people may feel that the difficulty is increasing.
From my perspective, since April, the market trend has been a bit shaky.
And in my expression, it was a bit unstable.
Since April, the market trend has been unstable, and it has continued until June.
And today, June 11th, seems to be a moment when it's peaking a bit, wouldn't you agree?

It seems like it will be there. Then, today as well, regarding the market, which stocks were strong in the market today, and explaining the return of the market as the main reason. And now, in the market, mainly focusing on the points, where they are located. Furthermore, what we need to look at in the future. Since time is short, I will quickly explain to you. First of all, what we need to talk about is, of course, yes. It seems that I need to explain this first. From last week, for two consecutive weeks, I have been presenting the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield. What is the significance of this bond yield that I have been presenting continuously? You may wonder. However, once you hear my explanation, you will understand to some extent. I will not explain other parts. Regarding the part I circled recently.

Let me explain. This point is the end of May. At the end of May, around May 31st, the national bond interest rate reaches its peak. After reaching the peak, there is a sharp drop. How far does it drop? It drops to around 4.6, but almost falls to around 4.3. Why does it drop so sharply? And why has it risen again? If it rises and falls, what impact does it have on our market? First, you need to understand this principle. National bond interest rates, in the case of such things as national bond interest rate yields, can be seen like this. If we look at our market, including the U.S. market, the existing basis would be the U.S. market's interest rate cut.

If the trend is to go down, but I don't think they will cut interest rates because employment is strong. With strong employment, both the production price index and the consumer price index are rising sharply. So, I don't think they will lower interest rates. If the trend is to go up, it will go up. Now, let me explain based on this situation. The government bond yields, which were rising steadily, have started to fall. The first sign shown in response to this is that the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. continues to exceed expectations. What does it mean when the number of jobless claims rises? It means that the number of unemployed people is increasing. This means that the previously robust U.S. job market is shaking. This point is the starting point from here. Looking at the decline, what happened at this point is that Europe and Canada cut interest rates. The U.S. has not done so yet. More flexibility.

As it goes down, then the next interest rate cut could be in the United States at this point in time. There are talks of two interest rate cuts this year. Instead of two, there is a possibility of more cuts being made, setting a trend. And then, what happens in this bottom range, this is exactly last Friday. In the United States, such indicators are announced. Right, the non-farm, oh, the non-farm, let's call it employment index. The exact term suddenly slips my mind, but it was an indicator of the number of jobs excluding agriculture. Market expectations were typically around 160,000 to 180,000. Because there is a benchmark from January to May. During this benchmark period from January to May, it was expected that around 160,000 to 180,000 jobs would be created. However, in reality, 270,000 jobs were created. So, what happened?

The non-agricultural market, which excludes agriculture,
is still robust. Additionally, compared to the previous year, how are wages now?
The wage increase rate has been set 0.4% higher. Employment
remains strong, but it has turned into a burden. Therefore, based on this low point, a rebound occurred last Friday.
So, why is this important? We need to look at which sectors our major stocks are distributed in our market,
and where the stocks distributed in those sectors are actually sensitive. At this stage, we need to see where they are indeed sensitive.
There are sectors that are sensitive to the 10-year bond yield, and in fact, it will be the sectors that many individual investors are holding.
The most sensitive ones are 1. bio and 2. currently, it is the secondary battery sector.

Now, I will explain that point. Let's take a look together. First, what I have displayed is the KOSPI index. The KOSPI index. And we will now look at the KOSDAQ together. And what we will focus on here is to look at the second battery Codex and Codex Bio together. If you look at these four, you will understand to some extent. First of all, as you all know, most second batteries and bios are dependent on the KOSDAQ. Based on this, I will explain. The KOSPI, of course, naturally has an interest rate sensitivity. Of course, it does, but the KOSDAQ is less sensitive. However, if you look at the movement of interest rates, from May to the end of May, the chart may be a bit small and hard to see, but the KOSDAQ...

Let's go up, but starting from the end of May,
what happened? Let's think about our government bond interest rate chart earlier.
From the end of May, the government bond interest rate went down, and the KOSDAQ went up.
What was at the center? It was bio and secondary batteries showing the same movement.
Within the KOSDAQ, the largest market cap is bio and secondary batteries. So, in this current state, why don't you talk about it, expert? Because today, the government bond interest rate is rising and staying here, not playing around at the low point.
It's rising and being supported. What does this mean? In this state, how did bio and secondary batteries do today? Think about it carefully. I will explain the main point later, but silicon.

Eumgeukjae, what about the challenge side, nano
materials or major electronic materials like this, tied to the value chain.
In the secondary battery sector, these are actually quite small stocks.
Here, they have risen sharply, but in terms of market capitalization, the anode and cathode materials are showing signs of a pause.
You can understand why this is happening because the government bond interest rates are stable.
The correlation is very clear. Therefore, at this stage, the schedule for the future becomes important.
Now, this Wednesday evening, when it becomes night, there will be a CPI announcement.
And on Thursday morning, there will be an FMC announcement.
What's important here is that the announcement is not expected to deviate significantly from market expectations.
Especially in the case of the FOMC, a freeze is almost certain.
If there are aspects that do not change from the expected values, then how will government bond interest rates move? This is the first point for now.

The first one is important, and the second is the statement.
After the FOMC, now the Fed officials will make statements about the future direction. However, how the market reacts is important. Currently, the overall trend is at a turning point. Why? In Europe and Canada, for example, interest rates have actually been raised. And in terms of employment indicators, they have been quite negative in recent weeks. However, when looking at the non-farm payroll index from January to May, there were also strong aspects in employment. So, strong and weak indicators coexist, and in other countries where interest rates have already been raised, how the current Fed members will talk about the future direction and how our market will perceive it will be an important trigger. In my view, the KOSDAQ and KOSPI have already widened the gap, even at their highs, you can tell.

Here, near the previous high, when you look at the area around the previous high, KOSDAQ, well, in the case of KOSPI, around the previous high, that's right. In the case of KOSDAQ, it's not very visible, so I will show you two of them. Now, please take a closer look. I have already explained the lower part, so if you look at it, compare KOSPI near the previous high with KOSDAQ near the previous high. The difference in divergence is already significant. In the case of KOSDAQ, there is still a long way to go, but KOSPI is already approaching the area where touching the previous high is possible. So, when you look at the gap between KOSPI and KOSDAQ, it seems that KOSDAQ tends to follow the direction of KOSPI, as I have mentioned a lot. Therefore, to fill this gap, KOSPI needs to come down or KOSDAQ needs to go up. If you take a look at the global charts, what do you think? Most of them already, including various U.S. stock markets, are already...

Global stock markets are mostly on an upward trend, breaking through or hovering near all-time highs. However, we are not at an all-time high. It was during the time of COVID-19. What I am trying to say is that looking ahead, if we follow the direction of the global stock markets, we should go upwards. And when going upwards, we should go even more upwards in the KOSDAQ. So, what should you understand? The KOSDAQ has a high possibility of moving upwards, with many industries having a high sensitivity to interest rates. Among the industries with high interest rate sensitivity, the representative ones are bio and secondary battery sectors. The likelihood of these sectors increasing is very high. I can explain this analysis to you through charts and indicators. However, let's now delve into the details.

If I may, it might get a little complicated, but I will try to explain that part as well. First of all, regarding the market in terms of indicators and the direction ahead, there is a high possibility that it will be determined on Wednesday or Thursday. Although today's discussion may seem a bit complex, if you listen again once or twice, you will have a good understanding of the content. Another point that needs to be mentioned is the adr indicator. Everyone may have heard of the adr indicator, and there may be those who are hearing about it for the first time. This is a KOSPI DIA indicator with a blue line in the middle and a gray line in between. This is a certain indicator where 100 is the reference point. For example, let's say there are ten stocks in the KOSPI index. However, there are only five stocks that are rising, and five that are falling.

It's a dog. So, what is the A index? It comes out as 100. Do you understand? Then it's simple. If there are many rising stocks, it goes up from 100, like 120, 140, and so on. If there are continuously many falling stocks, it goes down. How low? If it goes down by 80, sometimes it even goes down to 60, but hardly. So, when it usually reaches around 120, it's considered overheated. Ah, the likelihood of going down is high now. And most of the time, the ADR index is usually correct. When it reaches around 80, it's likely to go up from now on. That's the usual view. But the market is very shaky now, as I mentioned. The reference point started from April, as I mentioned. Here, May, and here is June. From the ADR perspective, the market started to plummet from May. So, now, where it is from the ADR perspective is crucial.

Here is 100 and now it's below 80. Oh, today when I looked, I remembered that the KOSPI dropped like this. So, if you look at it from my point of view, KOSDAQ is below and KOSPI is above. Well, at this level, it's not a consolidation zone, not a consolidation zone as experts would say. You can see it as not quite a consolidation zone. But in reality, among the large-cap stocks, the fluctuations are happening very rapidly. In fact, now, among the small and medium-sized stocks that many individual investors hold, there is a significant amount of decline. Why? Just today, there are a lot of sell-offs. If there are, for example, 100 stocks, if there are 100 stocks, I just randomly said 100. Anyway, in terms of ratio, the number of declining stocks is much higher than the number of rising stocks. This is mathematics.

Please calculate for the person who is good at it.
I suddenly started talking about math, but anyways, through the ADR indicator, our market is currently very overbought, and there is a homework to get out of this overbought condition. However, the important thing is that the ADR indicator always shows a tendency to go up when it is at the bottom, and a tendency to go down when it is at the top. In other words, if you enter the overbought zone, you will go down, and if you pass through the overbought zone, you will go up. This applies to the KOSPI. Then, what about the KOSDAQ? We have a lot of holdings in the KOSDAQ, which is similar. In fact, the KOSDAQ is severe. The KOSDAQ hasn't even reached the overbought zone yet. There have been many declines before, so the figures are even lower. Therefore, based on the ADR indicator, the market is currently overbought, and at this stage, it is good.

Many stocks have actually dropped in price significantly. When I look into the stocks, I often consider buying them when they have dropped a lot. If you are wondering when to buy, looking at the ADR index can be a criterion. Then, it becomes a time to buy for sure. It's ironic, right? While the index seems to be still, going up and down, when compared to the total number of stocks, the number of declining stocks is much higher. When I checked my account in May and June, it seemed like the index was still in place, but why are my stocks dropping a lot? It is actually normal. Even good stocks are showing a significant decline because of the current market situation. I will emphasize this even more. I will briefly explain about the main stocks in the market today and then I will talk about how the stocks I previously emphasized are doing.

If I talk about the view I always had about the market center, and what results would have come out if I had gone according to the center view, and what results would come out in the difficult market now or if I didn't look at the center view, let's discuss that together. First of all, among the strong ones today, the representative one is related to food. Currently, export-oriented items are doing very well, such as cosmetics or electronics, showing good export performance. Food was the last one to catch up on this trend. There are many good stories about it. So, let's take a look at the flow of these items together. First, let's examine the appearance of this food sector when it started. It's necessary to look at the center view.

Of course, Samyang Food, which started with the spicy chicken flavored noodles, has become a leader. And when Samyang Food started, Nongshim, which also led the export of noodles, went together. In terms of operating profit margins, Samyang Food is much higher, but in terms of sales, Nongshim is also significant. That's why both ramen companies are showing leadership in exports and the food industry. They are showing a somewhat blurry dominance in the market and mainly taking the lead. However, what's important is that the circulation is rapidly flowing. So, when looking at the movement of ramen stocks, it's essential to see which stocks moved when ramen stocks were active or inactive. Next, there are stocks related to seaweed and kimbap. But from what I felt, stocks related to seaweed seem to have more leadership.

Sajo Shift will become CJ Shift. But the flow is different. For example, Sajo Food CJ Shift shows a trend where it reverses the rise in the middle movement and shows a decline. Let's look at the chart. Nongshim and Samyang Food show a feeling of steadily extending upwards. Conversely, related stocks show some decline. This is the difference between leading and non-leading stocks. Especially when I mention leading stocks among market-oriented stocks, you should understand this aspect. If Binggrae has moved, it recently moved along with food-related stocks due to profit-taking. Crown Confectionery also moved together. But today, many of them took a break. The ones that moved today were a bit.

You may find it unusual
If we look at Guksoondang, Guksoondang here, additionally
Punggukjujeong, what is Bohae Brewery. Some of you may know this
But many of you may be hearing it for the first time, even those who know about makgeolli.
Even domestic surgery-related companies are related to alcohol-related companies.
So, if we expect that they will be able to increase their sales a lot in the future,
The movements today are now seen a lot in the charts, but it may not be visible.
There are three below on the downside, Guksoondang, Punggukjujeong, and Bohae Brewery.
But the circulation market continues like this. Here, there is a point we need to know.
We all know that the circulation market of this food is still running.
Even though the market is a bit shaky, it's moving together. But what's important here is
Samyang Foods and Nongshim's friends
They will take a break together. What's at the bottom is the sequence now. How did it go?
What moved first? Simply as one issue.

They moved. Rather than focusing on that, the entire food sector is currently running. So, when we follow this order, we should focus on naturally domestic food, which becomes Nongshim. These guys are leading the momentum. How should we view those at the bottom holding the items? You should pay attention to the top food stocks, whether the momentum is turning or not. But fortunately, it's not turning yet, and it's going well. Also, I feel like we should pay more attention to them. The important thing now is that Samyang Food and Nongshim are at their highs, so you should catch the followers, and I'm telling you to check the momentum of the followers well. I may not be able to show you a lot of charts right now, but I think it would be good for each of you to look at your own holdings once. So, regarding food, that's about it.

Let me summarize. Today, we should talk about silicon anode-related stocks. Oh, they rose sharply today, especially Kia, which is planning its first integration at 23. When we look at the news following this, Tesla is unveiling the 2170 battery by the end of this year. Tesla is going to apply silicon anodes. Advanced electronic materials are continuing to rise. You just need to check that much. Because now, we need to selectively look at the second battery. I mentioned earlier about government bond rates and talked about sensitivity to government bond rates. Here, you need to look at EcoPro BM. Of course, the cathode material is important. EcoPro BM. Additionally, you should look at EcoPro. They are easy today. Let's look at the chart today.

I noticed that everyone was quiet. The bond interest rates eased, and the correlation remained the same. In this situation, the main materials for semiconductors are followed by nanomaterials like carbon nanotubes. And then, things like J, they will be tied together in the same value chain. Look, the movement is different. When I talk about this sector and supply, if it comes out like this, it's not a good sign. Of course, I apologize to those who hold secondary batteries, but actually, I mentioned that there is a leader in the center and a commander. EcoPro BM, EcoPro, they need to move. It is said that the secondary battery industry has hit the bottom. Everyone, please think carefully. When we always talk about stock prices, what is the first word that comes to mind? It's shelves. The word shelves means hitting the bottom and the possibility of going up is high. So.

Reflecting the fact that they need to reflect in the current stock price, these two should be the first to react. The leaders are core stocks, but they are only reacting to the sensitivity of the current government bond interest rates. In this state, actually, looking at it from a different perspective, like electric cars, let's say a battery with 100 cells is used. If we consider the cathode material going into graphite, then if we assume that 100 pieces of graphite are used, in this case, looking at it from a different perspective, about 20 to 30 of them are silicon cathode materials. With this file, the ones at the bottom move, that's what I'm saying. So, of course, there is a significant difference in market capitalization. But based on this, whether they can rise with Echo Pro or not, it is paradoxical. So, looking at the current stage, ultimately, we have to go back to square one. The stocks at the bottom cannot lead the ones above. So, the ones at the bottom

To maintain the momentum of stocks, it is necessary for leaders in the secondary battery sector like Ecopro BM or Posco Group to move first. There is a correlation with national interest rates, and then if we look at the correlation with national bond rates, we need to observe the market direction. The market direction is currently at a standstill. So, what should we look at here? It's directly related to this Wednesday and Thursday's CPI FOMC results, market reactions, and to what extent the response of the U.S. 10-year treasury bond rates are anticipated. After that, there are many expectations that our stocks, especially in the secondary battery sector, will improve in the third and fourth quarters ahead, and there is also a possibility of good performance in the first quarter of next year. At this point, we need to see if the actual reflection of secondary batteries is taking place. That is currently the focus of attention.

As I have provided various explanations, some content may be difficult or hard to understand. However, this content will be uploaded directly to YouTube. If you find it challenging, especially for those who are shareholders, I recommend reviewing the content I have shared once or twice slowly. It will be sufficient for you to understand. I don't have much time now, so I will quickly check just one thing. Specifically, I have talked a lot about energy-related stocks, energy-related, skincare, medical devices, and cosmetics. Currently, many stocks are fluctuating a lot, and there is a significant decline in the market. I have actually recommended a stock called APR as a recommended stock, and today it shows a very strong performance, showing a stronger performance than the index.

The stocks I have are the ones I keep mentioning as the ones to focus on in the market. If you look at APR today, it's much stronger than the market. It drops less in terms of market declines. Let's take a look at another stock. It's Doosan Engineering & Construction. In actuality, while other stocks are showing much larger declines, especially stocks related to power transmission and distribution are showing significant drops. However, in the case of nuclear power-related stocks, instead of falling with the market, they are holding their ground well. Of course, they may not rise significantly, but they are showing some downside resilience, indicating the possibility of moving upwards in the future. Another energy stock that I emphasized before, let's take a look at the possibilities. It's Hwaseung Solution. Today, it is showing a strong performance. This is how it is. The market can always go up and down.

When we get off, what stocks we can leave behind, and which ones can go up after a fall, the first stock that can be considered to go up should always be centered on the market. I can't explain the momentum like this every day, but I explained the key points of that day from the return of the famous people on Tuesday, and explained the characteristics and sectors. Of course, the points may vary from day to day, but the most important thing is always to focus on the core stocks of the market. I put a lot of effort into describing them, so please pay attention to those points. Thank you. Today, I will end the review of the famous people here and will meet you next Tuesday. Today, I'm Kim Geun-woo. Thank you.

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대주전자재료 폭등 이유! 2차전지 주가 바닥? 이렇게 접근해야 수익 극대화된다 (f. 음극재? 양극재? 종목 선택 이것만 기억하라)

대주전자재료 폭등 이유! 2차전지 주가 바닥? 이렇게 접근해야 수익 극대화된다 (f. 음극재? 양극재? 종목 선택 이것만 기억하라)

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