Hello, this is Charlie. The market has been quite frustrating due to interest rate comments, hasn't it? You might wonder why the cryptocurrency market is declining despite the interest rate and policy statements. Understanding the current stance of the U.S. government will help clarify this. If you grasp this part, you'll be able to predict the direction of the currency market.

At 3 AM today, the interest rate decision was announced, and Chairman Powell gave a speech. In particular, the cryptocurrency market sees interest rate hikes as the biggest negative factor. Conversely, you can think of interest rate cut comments as the biggest positive factor. In this context, Powell made statements regarding interest rates and policy. As you can see, he mentioned specific examples regarding the conditions for a rate cut in September.

If inflation continues to slow down rapidly and economic growth is maintained, especially if the employment market remains at its current level, then a rate cut could be on the horizon.

The pace of inflation is gradually slowing down, and the economic situation is being maintained. Employment levels are close to full capacity. Therefore, in September, we will lower interest rates. Of course, there was a discussion about lowering interest rates this month as well, but this time, due to opposition from singer Lee Sang, it could not be done. However, if the previously mentioned factors come into play in September, it has been stated that we will lower interest rates. I also believe that the interest rate announcement at 3 AM tomorrow is not significantly meaningful for the market analysis today. However, with the certainty of interest rates being held steady, Powell's speech is important, especially regarding comments on managing interest rates in September. The first point is that when the stance remains the same, expectations for interest rate cuts are low, and the market is likely to decline. When looking at comments about interest rates, they can be divided into two categories regarding this year's expectations.

This is currently applicable. It is expected that the market will experience a temporary decline, but there is a high possibility of a rise soon. This indicates that the U.S. economy is landing smoothly. The Federal Reserve is considering raising interest rates two to three times this year, which has led to a surge in the U.S. market. However, there is also a high possibility of a decline soon, which suggests that there are some issues with the U.S. economy. 

As you can see, despite the comments regarding interest rate hikes, the crypto market has declined. Currently, it is fluctuating around 90 million won. You can also see that Solana, which was discussed in the previous broadcast, is going down as well. However, I mentioned that it will rise soon. So, what is the current stance of the U.S. information? It means that they will not miss the opportunity to maintain a strong dollar. Why?

So, what has happened as the U.S. government maintains a strong dollar? The economy continues to soar, especially compared to South Korea, where the U.S. economy is performing much better. This seems illogical, but what could be the possible reason? Maintaining a strong dollar leads to economic growth. Looking at the current stance of the U.S., even though they could sufficiently lower interest rates, what are they continuously saying? They state that they cannot do so until inflation falls to the 2% range. The reason they keep making this statement is that if they lower interest rates, what happens to the strong dollar? It turns into a weak dollar. When it becomes a weak dollar, how does economic growth change? It decreases. So, because of these factors, they are trying to delay the interest rate cuts as much as possible, continuously pushing them back.

In short, do you understand what I'm saying? Think about it: before COVID, when the U.S. kept interest rates low, economic growth was still difficult. However, after COVID, by injecting money into the economy, the strong dollar and safe assets led to economic growth. Now, they want to continue this trend. Of course, with the upcoming Trump administration, there has been a declaration to abandon the strong dollar. Ironically, Trump is now pursuing economic policies that could lead to even higher interest rates. However, the current government's stance has created a structure where a strong dollar is essential for economic growth, which means they can't avoid raising interest rates. On the other hand, this suggests that the U.S. economy is still progressing, making it hard for the market to decline. This is really what I think.

Today, I will briefly explain, but if you understand this stance, you will see that even if the cryptocurrency market drops significantly, I can strongly suggest that you should buy. I fully understand the current stance of the U.S. government, and since I always discuss this in our group chat, the members there can also think, Okay, there won't be a sudden drop now, and if there is a decline, they might feel that it’s actually a good opportunity to buy more strongly. The content in our group chat and the stock discussions are things I can't share anywhere else. While I can talk about stock charts or news articles, understanding the overall economic flow, including the current economic stance of the U.S. and South Korea, allows you to grasp these macroeconomic factors.

If you understand the analysis, your assets will inevitably level up. Please send your contact information for the group chat and stock inquiries to 010-2164-4887. I always mention that I welcome anyone who is truly eager to join. Those who are desperate to make money in the investment market, especially those in their 40s and 50s who watch my broadcasts, I hope you can live more comfortably at home and outside. I have experienced this myself, and I would love to help you through my broadcasts. I believe that those who watch my videos until the end are my true supporters. Thank you.

코인 금리 시장, 금리 인하 시사에도 비트코인을 비롯한 이더리움, 솔라나 모두 하락을 했습니다. 만약 이런 움직임을 미리 예상을 했다면 향후 움직임은 어떻게 될까요?

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