Nice to meet you. I'm here to greet you in the early morning on the Pye Investment Mind channel. You are probably looking forward to a good flow after the start of June, but as the blue light is coming in now, many of you may be feeling bored and struggling. If you look at various charts like Polygon, most altcoins show similar patterns. In January and March, most altcoins rose the most this year. Many invested in coins in March and sold a lot in April. Those who are holding on are testing it once or twice, or three times. So, we have been talking about the flow of the altcoin market based on the box theory, but 2022 was really tough. In 2023, we are in these phases.

In that segment, I must have emphasized that we felt good in March. So, in that almost touching segment, almost at the bottom, now Polygon is not a case that has risen much, so it's a bit difficult to give an accurate example. For instance, let's take Chainlink. In 2022 and 2023, it's the most boring, painful, but also the most opportune moment, the moment we want to go back to the most in the next 1 to 2 years. That moment is right in 2022 and 2023, in this box segment. Passing through this box segment and breaking through, we have reached this point, pressing here almost now. Chainlink goes up and then here it is, most coins are here. So, if you think about it, that's what you need to do. Even in the case of Bitcoin Cash, in 2022 and 2023, it's a boring segment box, then the next box in 2023 will go up, and then the next.

In the case of Bitcoin Cash, it feels like climbing up step by step, one step at a time. And earlier, with Polygon, there was almost nothing right. Next, with Avalanche, you can see the boxes here, and then you can see that it's in the second section after the rally. So, instead of being too hard or painful in your mindset, in fact, altcoins can quickly recover in just a few days, with profits of minus 30% to 50% in the altcoin market. So, at a time like this, it's the same moment when you desperately want to go back soon. Avalanche also had a time when it was digging the bottom like this, going down, going up a bit, then going down again to 20,000 won, then dropping to 12,000 won again. Even if you bought it here, it's -80%. How painful is that?

If we zoom in here a bit - it dropped by about 80%, and then from around 12,000 won, it went up to about 16,000 won, then it went up by about 34%, but then it went back to where it was before. So, we had to do a double bottom twice, then it went up again. This kind of pattern often occurs. Even now, it's the same. We can see this kind of trend where it goes up, then corrects, corrects again, do a double bottom once, twice, and it seems like it's going to go up, then corrects again for the third time, then the fourth time. People start to panic, thinking that it's really going to collapse, but I don't think it will break down from here. You might be caught up in many fears, of course, in the world of investing, nothing is 100% certain.

If you ask, I also don't know, but according to the theory of expanding the basket of assets that I keep talking about, the era of asset tokenization is not about me, but it's a new financial institution that is sparking a new financial revolution based on the expanding basket of assets. In English, it's called the EVTION but it's the era of asset tokenization that is flowing. We are flowing in this direction. But as it flows like that, the expansion digs a hole and tries to expand, then digs another hole and expands again. But who created the expanding basket? Who nurtures it? In the end, someone has to handle the cup handle in this way, and eventually move on again. So, it's the same for all of you here. Should we go up or down from here? We were afraid before, but we have much more possibilities now, and the room to move up is much bigger. Therefore, we can handle intellectual risks here.

We used to say that we have to do it, so even if the chances of going down and up are 50-50 in the end, at a point where the upward drop is larger than the downward drop, it is intellectually risky. It is necessary to enjoy a rational set that has been thoroughly calculated. So, in this segment, you may not know where you will go, but in October 2023, you really struggled. You may not know where to go, but when the probability of going up is higher, even if it's 50-50, that's when you should invest. Even now, whether assets will rise or fall from a financial perspective, you still don't know. Even if it's 50-50, if you think that the chances of an asset's value increasing are higher, you may fall back again here.

It's more about the potential than the probability, and it's about going up more than down. So, if you understand the concept of expanding wealth to Park Won-ho, you can invest. Otherwise, it's a time when you can just hold onto the coins you have. If you understand the current timing with that concept, ultimately, it's the same as now. Therefore, investing is actually an ongoing process. In March, we felt really good, right? We felt good, and now from April to early June, we don't feel good. Then, another good time will come again. That's the law of polarity. Therefore, when all the energy reaches one side, it will move to the other side. The action and reaction of energy are all the same. So, in the law of polarity, when we are at our worst moment, we should always think that the best is coming, and since it can't get any worse, we should think of the good.

When you feel like you have to do it and you think you are at the top, when I feel very good, now is the time when we will not be good. I feel instinctively that I have used up a lot of luck now and it's time to gather luck again. We need to be cautious, so when the peak is reached and people start rushing in, you should prepare for a rebound by selling in portions. It's like I will sell everything at the peak, as if it doesn't exist. So even now, it's good enough for you to feel good, but as we go into May, we will press again, go down, press again, go down, press again. It's a continuous cycle, so you can see that people are continuously dropping out now. So, today on my show, I will talk about various dominance charts, so that you can sort out in your mind how you should approach things at the moment.

I think so, when you look at the fear and greed index, it's around 74, and also, in Gimpo, if you take a look, it seems like the Kimchi price, the Kimchi price, now at around 1.7, originally it was about 2%, it has slightly dropped. There won't be significant fluctuations in the altcoin season index, and also, in the spot market, I heard that many long positions have now been liquidated. So, starting from the articles here, in the cryptocurrency leverage market, 51,320 billion won was liquidated by long positions, and finally, people who were liquidating long positions are now finally going to do it once or twice, converging and liquidating again. So, never climb the cliff and invest, invest in the path, what is it, futures trading, short-term trading, really, no one, even if you have good muscles and skills, climbed the cliff and made a lot of money quickly, reached the summit.

People brag about climbing up, thinking anyone can do it, but in reality, only a few who have honed their skills and self-discipline can actually climb the wall. Most people cannot do it. What can most people do? Simply walk slowly up the Olle-gil trail, enjoying nature and the scenery. Anyone can reach the top slowly. Everyone invests for the long term, enduring when feeling bad and selling when feeling good. Don't rush for greed, but follow the principle of enduring losses of -50%, then doubling or tripling, enduring -80%, then three or four times more, and enduring -90%, that's when you make ten times more. According to this principle, if I can't bear -20% or -30%, I won't be able to profit five times more. That's not how it works. So, what everyone can do is investing in the Olle-gil path, but not everyone can do it because it's difficult to be patient.

Everyone, we need to do that. Altcoins and bitcoins are now facing increased volatility ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision. So, regarding this interest rate decision, the Fed will do it soon. These things could move, so even if I said the same thing back in 2023, we mostly said that around October 203, the market would drop further. Even if it drops sharply, it will go up. If you think the upward movement is greater than the downward movement from here, instead of selling here and buying there, you should just hold on. If it drops, it will soon go up anyway because it won't fail. You should keep thinking like this. Do you understand? And HSBC China.

We provide support for digital account services for corporate customers. So, now the world is gradually moving towards digital money. In fact, the concept of most of our money is already digital. Where is our money mostly kept? It is stored in banks. Despite shouting for decentralization, the reality is that all the money and financial systems in the world are centralized. Therefore, I believe that the world will not move towards a dramatically decentralized world in the future but will continue to move towards centralization. However, I think that eventually, we will move towards a centralized world. But now, the money in our servers, the money in banks, when institutions like Nonghyup get hacked, ultimately, because it is digital money, it gets hacked. Our money is already digital. So, this support for digital... Ultimately, it is the technology behind the scenes, the ledger technology, known as blockchain technology.

We are talking about things, in fact, the digital money we are talking about, we are already digital money, but now it is changing into money with ledger technology. With this ledger technology, the money that goes into it will make it easier for the whole world to go back and forth in the future. Previously, since it was not ledger technology, when sending money between banks through SWIFT, it was not immediately settled because they entrusted each other's collateral to each other's accounts. So, if each bank had, for example, deposited 10 billion won each, it was not possible to send more money back and forth. Therefore, it was necessary to involve other banks that deposited more money, causing inconvenience. But now, in the world where real-time payments between ledgers are made, this inconvenience is gone. In the future, that's how it will be. So, the first thing is stable coins. In the U.S., they are preparing stable coins unexpectedly.

So stablecoins will be coming to the world in the future. Because the US Congress targeted the USD, the market share of USDT is expected to decrease dramatically in about two years from now. On the other hand, USDC, Ripple, and other stablecoins will see a significant increase in market share. Next, we are heading towards a world of CBDC. You should anticipate these trends. Hong Kong executives are showing interest in institutional investors and cryptocurrencies. These contents are gradually becoming known. Therefore, institutions are entering the market, and about 80 virtual asset businesses met with the Financial Supervisory Service. In Korea, things are really lagging behind. Until recently, they were calling it a coin scam, but now they are creating regulations and laws. So, things have changed from a few years ago.

It's the same technology, but now it's not a scam, it needs to be institutionalized, right? So, back then, because people thought it was a scam, you shouldn't buy it, but now, gradually, because the public needs to come in, you need to prepare. So, from that perspective, you shouldn't just accept the news from the media as it is. So, if I briefly talk about Ripple News, well, you have various crazy coins like Dung Coin, Shoo Coin, then Devil's Coin, and so on. But Ripple has launched a dedicated fund to accelerate xrp ledger innovation in Japan and Korea, so they have about 1 billion xrp to support enterprise partnerships in Japan and Korea, developer grants, startup investments, community growth, and things like that.

Now we are going to put in about 1 billion XRP into the fund, which is roughly 1% of the total circulation, including what will be coming out in the future. So, a very large amount is being put in at this point. In fact, there is quite a lot of money involved. In the case of Ripple, people say that selling XRP is just a waste of money. So, depending on the perspective, those who truly believe that Ripple XRP will change the future of finance are now investing, while others say that it's all nonsense. Therefore, depending on your perspective, some may invest in XRP, but I hope that those who do not will not even come near the devil's nest and please make sure to diversify your investments. Those who eventually prove themselves in XRP will have the experience of going all-in on any asset in the future. It was really tough. Take this opportunity to learn a lesson and, on the other hand, consider Ripple XRP as a teacher.

Let's invest in diversification next time, even if I really like it. Diversification doesn't mean spreading out randomly, not like a dozen or so, just one, two, or three at most. Even if a coin is really good, you can reduce the pain of being late. But for those who have waited a long time, if you just hold on, eventually, I believe it will be proven when the time comes. I think that time is coming soon. Anyway, it will move within a 24-25 year cycle, so even if you suffered a lawsuit in 2021, it moved. It got a little hot, then turned green again. So looking back at the past 3 months, and looking at it in 6 months, it's like the tide is coming in and then going out. Even if people want to raise a boat or take care of a coin, they can't. They make money.

Even if you want to, when the tide is out, there's no water, so the boat doesn't float. Then gradually the high tide comes in. So, the water fills up completely facing you. The boat floats and you feel so good. This is March. March is passing, and now the tide is coming back in. Even within a bull market, the ebb and flow of the tide repeats. When you reach the end of the last bull market, something happens. Because the tide is so strong, everything just pours into the sea perfectly, and the boat sails so smoothly. Then, everyone gets excited and just spreads out like a festival, going further and further out to sea. Eventually, you can't see the land anymore. But some people who know a bit say, Oh, the wind is blowing too hard, and people are going too far out. I should eat moderately and go back to the land. So, they go back. But those who didn't notice continue to enjoy.

Just keep going with your village and your body to get blood and flesh, what happens when you meet a typhoon, and now the ship sinks, right? So, the high tide and the low tide keep repeating to us. We are still clearly in a bull market, so this kind of mid-tide comes in, and it repeats intermittently. But in the end, all of you will have the hot tide coming back in. It will come back in and the ebb tide will come in again. Then, when the high tide comes in, this time, it may be a huge high tide all at once, or it may be a small high tide like in March. I don't know, but regardless, when altcoins surpass Bitcoin's market cap in what we are looking at, then at that time, when the tide comes in, think that a fairly strong tide has come in, and from then on, please consider taking some partial profits, everyone.

When tidying up, it repeats flood and ebb in the rising market. The flood comes in, then the ebb, and then the flood comes in again. A pleasant March 2014, then April, May, and up to early June now. The ebb is a perfect ebb, blue, then slightly, now, feeling like something wet is about to come in. Can you see a slightly yellowish tint as well? This is the time. And now, after a while, a perfect flood comes in. Then, at that time, altcoins start to surpass their previous highs. From then on, it's recommended to take some profits. It's good to take some profits and keep the remaining amount because if it goes up more, having the remaining amount is beneficial. And then, if it surpasses the previous high and suddenly drops, since I've already taken profits, it's good. I'll expand my position more every year, so all I have to do is wait.

Right, everyone. If you don't try to eat everything, you can eat a lot. So, in the Han River area, I keep talking about this in the newsletter. Since I keep talking about it in the premium newsletter, some of you may not see it and ask questions. So, there are quite a few people who keep commenting on the same content. When you keep doing that, you start thinking, Why don't they read the article? Newcomers must read it for at least the past six months. In the end, I have to grow and earn money. No one will give it to you for free. Even if there is, if you go into places like paid stock reading rooms where you can make money, everyone will go. And when that happens, why would that person do it? They earn money on their own, right? So, you have to earn money.

There is no shortcut to making money quickly. Let's study humanities together in the community, observe the market trends, and once we understand each other, you all need to be alert. From this point on, you should start selling in portions. Learn to do this. We study to grow, not to sell everything here and buy everything here. If that happens, someone in the world has already taken all the money. You should learn this. If someone says it will happen, it's a scam. Also, recently, we didn't know if it would go up or down. There were a lot of long positions here, but now they are being cleared. So, we might push it all the way down below 66,000, drop about 5%, and it could rise again. No one knows. It could break here and go down again. No one knows. If you climb this wall of fear and invest in futures,

It seems really dangerous. It's instinctive to study. Okay, in terms of Bitcoin, there won't be big fluctuations. In the total market cap, on the daily chart, around early June, we finally changed slightly to green on the Gaussian channel. And as it goes up again, if you press it down again, what happens? These moving averages all gather tightly like this. As it continues to rise like this, the moving averages spread apart. But if you press down as it goes up, the moving averages become like this, like this, so that what's below keeps coming up and what's above keeps getting pressed down. By pressing like this, the moving averages gather tightly like rubber bands. If you look here now, the moving averages, both short-term and long-term, are mostly gathered here. They are mostly gathered around here and here, right? Slightly below, but if you press like this, the moving averages.

Gradually, as people gather, they say that they will go up at once with strength. So, I am still being cautious and predicting that around the end of June, maybe around late June, I might not go to the red box area. Of course, my prediction is just a prediction, so there is a high chance of being wrong, almost 50% or more. You should invest with the mindset that if it doesn't go up at the end of June, it will go up in July. Predicting the timing, saying, I said I would go at the end of June, so I have to invest, is not the right thinking. When investing, always prepare for the possibility of being wrong and make investments that you absolutely believe in.

Playing a fearless game is investing, so don't do short-term investments, don't invest in rock climbing, that's the reason. So if you look at the weekly chart, it's like this here now. So, it will go up again like this to the overbought zone. The lower side too, and now at the 20-week support level from the weekly chart, so the next one is here, expecting it to not go back down to here. Of course, there might be a box section where it drops down again to the bottom. If it happens, what should you do? Just buy even if it's only 10,000 won, say, Oh, I bought 10,000 won, win mentally, and wait. Since the market doesn't go my way anyway, I invested, thinking it would go up due to the expanding box pattern. It will go up, of course. But if the market goes down for a while, what should you do?

You're going to get frustrated. You don't have to say anything to the market, just wait. If you wait here and wait a little longer, focus on tomorrow, it will go up again. It was exactly like that during Corona. Everyone was panicking, saying that everyone was going to die. When it dropped by 50% in the short term, some people bought then, seizing the opportunity, while others suffered. If you just endure a little, there will be huge profits when you move from the 20s to 21s. There will be a bull market then. People will see huge losses and exit. When looking at the same phenomenon, it's an opportunity for some and a crisis for others. So, when looking at all phenomena, instead of just the surface, if you keep looking at the meaning it holds within the big cycles when this happens, you will see various aspects. If you have a potato, you might see just one side, like a potato chip, but you need to look at various sides and angles.

What do you see on the back? It's not about seeing one side now. When you start to see in 3D, then in three dimensions, you will realize that this is a potato. It depends on whether you perceive it as a potato chip or a potato. So, when you encounter a problem, don't just look at it superficially, but think about why this problem occurred in a complex way. Right now, this situation is clearly about the expansion of the bubble. In the middle of this expansion, there is a segment where the bubble is expanding, and Alt has not yet crossed the previous high. The world's bubble and altcoins will change a lot as a technology. It will surely cross the previous high, but will it continue to stay here and then go down again, contract, and expand again when winter comes? Altcoins will expand, and assets like BlackRock.

I heard that they talk about everything, then all the stock prices, commodities, and coins should fluctuate. They should all rise as cryptocurrencies, but what if their market capitalization decreases? When you start thinking about what will happen if they shrink, you realize that they are ultimately tested inside the box before rising. So, the only thing I should fear is going beyond the limits and expanding into a new cycle. When you don't know how far you will expand, it's like fueling the greed of the public, and only then should I be afraid. So, I think the only time to be afraid is when it keeps expanding like wildfire due to the greed of the public. You need to make the current period advantageous for you. Now, looking at the dominance of Bitcoin, it broke like this, faked out, then rose again, broke, and is rising again like this.

So, it's dropping, dropping, Alt Dominance is going, Alt Season is going, it keeps going like this, but this is the same. It keeps going, going, going, but eventually, the saying is that it will come down. In the end, from a big perspective, when we look at it from a big perspective, in the short term, now that altcoins are dropping, many of you may not feel good, but from a big perspective, altcoins are dropping like this, and it seems like they will keep dropping, then go up, drop again, go up, drop, go up, drop, and Alt Season came in 2021, and at that time, everyone went crazy because only Bitcoin was going up. It came, and then Bitcoin kept going up, and oh, Alt Season isn't coming, isn't coming, isn't coming, but it will come again. In the end, looking at the big picture, this is an inevitable trend. In this way, it's an inevitable trend that you are within, that you cannot avoid.

In the short term, it seems like Ethereum might go alt, but it's not going. The reason you need to find peace of mind in situations like this is precisely that. When you look at it, when USDT dominance decreases in the USDT market, coins tend to rise. So, in early 2024, it rose like this with the approval of Bitcoin ETF, and then as USDT dominance decreased, it continued to fall. It went up by about 6.5% and then dropped by 4%. Then, it rose a bit until April, and in May, it went up a bit, then started to decline again. It was going up in May, then started to go down again, and now it's been sticking to the lower channel until June, pushing upwards. So, this is how the chart is drawn, and eventually, it will fall again. Because ultimately, the huge trend within the bull market is downwards.

We are going down, right? We are going down all the way down to the USDT ES coin side. Because it's better to buy coins than hold USDT. So, from the shelter with USDT, come out and now you should play in the field. Since the market is good, we will eventually go down like this. We received support at the bottom, faced resistance above here, broke through this channel, went down, and kept hitting the support at the bottom of this channel. Then, it will go up again and what if it goes up? It may go up, but after going up, it will come down soon. Because the overall trend is in a bull market, we know that money is moving to USDT ES coins, so instead of looking at individual aspects, we need to look at various aspects of the market as a whole.

Next, in the 3rd dimension, you need to make an effort to see it in three dimensions. Here, we are checking when it passes through. If you look at the total market cap, it's the market cap of altcoins excluding the top 10 coins like Ethereum, Ripple, BNB, etc. So, we are excluding all of those. Therefore, if we are here now, the price is here. It crosses and the secondary indicator starts to rise again, but as it rises, the secondary indicator bends, then dips again, and then rises once more. At this point, when the price is here, the altcoin dominance drops like this. That's right, altcoins are dropping, but at this point, altcoin prices have actually risen.

It's not that big, but it rose moderately, right? But why is the dominance dropping? Major altcoins like Bitcoin and Ethereum, then Bitcoin and major altcoins rise more, so altcoin dominance drops here because altcoin dominance excludes some altcoins, so the dominance will drop significantly. When it drops, what will happen? Major altcoins with large market capitalization will move. Bitcoin will move, major altcoins will move, and then altcoin dominance will move except for the top ten coins. That time is coming. When it drops, it will happen. Here, it will drop once, then drop again. When it drops, now on the Fibonacci indicator, when it crosses and a death cross occurs, it will drop.

Things like Twa and Beat go first, so the market capitalization is big, that's how you should perceive it. So, you should wait for those flows. It's a bit of a tough time now, but if you think about it, we need to hit the Taehyung now. I'm sorry for repeating this, but you all have received your shots since April, in your 70s in April, your 20s in May, and now in June, you're getting your shots in your 10s. The total number of shots is 100, and now almost all of them have been done. So, April was a bit boring, May was a bit tough, and June was also a bit tough, but we're almost through it. If you look here, Ethereum is rising this much and following this pattern. Even in the case of Solana, it's doing this here, and for coins like Dogecoin, it rose until March, then pressed down until May.

Once again, there is a process like this right now. Most of the time, you have to press, press, press, repeat this. You have done the polygon a few times. In this process, as you continue, see what happens here. As you go, press, press, press, and then as you continue, really press unpleasantly, then go a little, press unpleasantly once more, and keep repeating. Press, press, press. The bullish market is shorter than the bear market. By doing this, you will go again. In this way, most patterns are repeated. So, what should you do now? Just imagine the future of those who have succeeded without doing anything. Coins will remain calm anyway. From now on, it's been about 24 years, around the mid-2020s. So, I think it should be at least a year long. Oh, in 25 years, oh.

Even until autumn, it will take about one to one and a half years. If the bull market continues until the second half of the 25th year, I think the first half of the 25th year might not be that good for the market, maybe about six months or so. There is a possibility that it will get better from the second half to the end of the 25th year. Currently, from June to November, there is a possibility that the market will be good for about two years. Looking at this trend, there are two major positive trends. The upcoming 24th year seems promising. Right now, altcoins are still below their previous highs. This is the best time for altcoins. When it surpasses this point, it will accelerate and soar. The excitement will be high when that happens, and there is still more to come.

Never forget that you are still here, it's a golden opportunity for you now, 24 years old. Avoid unnecessary temptations, such as buying and selling for no reason, buying coins, or impulsively buying at strange exchanges. Just avoid moving coins around and such actions. Just receive free money from someone and trade coins. If possible, buy from reputable exchanges. Just focus on your daily life. Ripple XRP in 2024 and 2025, I believe it will naturally happen, the time that you have been eagerly waiting for in the past few years. Also, Ripple XRP and the foundation in Korea and Japan have decided to expand the ledger. If you continue to see these positive actions, it would be good if you don't forget. Thank you for listening to today's broadcast. Don't give up.

[🏆#98] 조만간 변동성이 커질 것/리플사 한국과 일본에 관심 갖는 이유? #비트코인 #리플xrp

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