It's difficult to respond to breaking news on the day, but does any of this vindicate a knee-jerk reaction that we see in the markets? For sure. I mean, look, any time there's uncertainty, it's going to hit the market because the ramifications of a war are clearly, you know, global, widespread, and impactful. You know, besides the fact that it's very sad and, you know, the market reaction is not surprising at all. And when you look at what the biggest point drags are on a NASDAQ benchmark, on an S&P benchmark, unsurprisingly, they are big tech, but that's largely because they are the biggest companies out there rather than they have the most exposure to any geopolitical tensions. But does that warrant a desire to pull back on any over-focus on the Magnificent Seven, for example? You know, I think it's clear as the market has outflows and people

try and sell the market that the next seven are the biggest proportion of the benchmarks and the easiest place to take capital from. So it's not surprising that they're underperforming. Does it give us any less conviction in the long term of where these businesses are going? It doesn't and it doesn't really change that thesis told you about where these businesses are going. Today we have Apple on the downside significantly, not just because of the market selling, but because of worries about the sales of its iPhone 16. A lot of that predicated on when it will really intertwine into that offering. On the flip side. Microsoft today showing off its prowess in the area of consumer AI. What is the thesis for these names and how much will actually start using the artificial intelligence they promise? Yeah. So, you know, one thing I'd like to remind everyone is that I burst onto the consumer scene only 22 months ago,

and we are expecting this leaps and bounds. We expecting revenue. And you know, the ROI inside of 22 months is probably the fastest expectation baked into any company for any technological revolution. And so, you know, where I think they're going is I will be integrated with everything that we do. And today we think of it as a co-pilot. I think it's really a co-worker of where we're going to. A personal digital assistant is where the consumer I will go. And then one has to really ask for a company like Apple, you know, can they actually abstract you away from your phone and abstract you away from the app layer and really significantly change the business model as they go into a more personalized digital assistant type world? And what is that worth to Apple? Mm hmm. You know, what is that worth to a consumer? I would argue that it's significantly more than worrying about a near-term product cycle, because, you know, that

software-based product cycle is coming. We have been talking about the impact on stocks on revenue for 22 months, even if the consumer hasn't embraced it as much as perhaps the market wants to talk about it. Where haven't we embraced in terms of the stocks that will rally that we haven't really seen outperform yet? Yeah, I think A.I. is going to go through waves. So initially, we've looked at the picks and shovels, and it has been NVIDIA, the semiconductor companies, and even inside the semis. It hasn't been all semis. There have been a select few, and there's been a big bifurcation. We've seen it in a select number of industrials, those that cater to data centers and the changing data center. Then we saw it in electricity with some of these nuclear plays and the utilities, and then catching on fire. And so, you know, I believe the next phase of this is going to come in the

rest of the data center and also those companies that show that by using AI, they're in fact, improving their operating margins. And that's the next phase. Now, I expect that to come and, you know, 25 to 26, because still deploying this AI is not necessarily, you know, flipping on a switch. It takes some planning eyes, of course, disrupting many a vertical, we think, how it's going to be applied to health care. We think of how it's going to be applied to finance. I go back to our top story of the day and geopolitical tensions. How much will it be applied to defense and is that an area that you've been thinking would be outperforming not only in a political instance, but also from an air backing? Yeah, it absolutely will that the amount of money that will be required to shore up our defenses and that will be spent on defense is going

to be significant. And in part because, you know, just like the industrial revolution in the late 1700s, it changed the geopolitical landscape for England at that point in time. I believe that AI is going to change the geopolitical landscape for whichever countries actually wholeheartedly adopt it and then also become leaders in it. And that can set the chessboard for the next 50 years.

Tech Leads Selloff on Geopolitical Risks

Welcome to the Bloomberg Technology YouTube channel. Subscribe for original series and mini-docs on game-changing technologies, profiles on innovators, live conversations with experts, and breaking technology news & analysis from Bloomberg TV.

Tech Leads Selloff on Geopolitical Risks

Tech Leads Selloff on Geopolitical Risks

스크립트