Hello everybody and welcome back to the channel. I think it's finally time we had a talk about OpenAI and what their plans are for the future. What can we expect? As you guys probably know, and I don't need to really explain, OpenAI is kind of on top of the AI game and has

been since AI became mainstream. Sure, there are some areas in which they get beaten out, and right now that's video generation, image generation in some other small areas, but they always seem to lap back and become the king of whatever they do once again every time

an announcement happens. Anyways, OpenAI is preparing to launch something in early 2025. It's going to be a new AI tool called Operator. The goal here is significant advancement in automation and a generative AI-based technology. It's going to be designed to automate complex

tasks with multiple steps and complete those tasks in a timely manner with minimal human interaction. Basically, hey Operator, order me a pizza. Hey Operator, can you search Amazon for the cheapest version of blah blah blah, whatever it might be. Basically, the overarching goal with Operator is to

vastly simplify complex tasks for humans. Things that normally could take you hours of research and navigation across the web, comparing different things, can now be automated. You can do other things and it's just going to come back to you with whatever you asked for, and that's

pretty darn incredible. The keen amongst you will start to think, hey, there actually are some AI tools that exist that are supposed to do this, and that is very true. Most notably recently, Claude announced their very own computer use model, and it's, you know, all right. It's

Not great, it can do basic things. It can go ahead and like order you a sandwich or something like that, or it could click around your computer, open apps for you. But in terms of real-world use cases, I haven't seen anything yet that screams, "Hey, I need this in my life now because"

it's just not good enough. There's also the new Microsoft agents, which we talked about I think last week, and that seems even more promising than what Claude has brought to the table. But then again, that Microsoft agent seems to really be more like a combination of four agents

working together in a loop, which isn't bad, but certain tasks might falter because of the limitation of those four specific models. I think there was an overarching task delegation, there was a web searching agent, there was a coding agent, and then an execution agent, and

those four can do a lot, but I think OpenAI with its operator here is going to come to the table with something entirely new. It'll be one, obviously, multimodal model in my estimation, and I think this model is going to have an

inherent difference. I think at the architecture behind it is going to be something that is from the ground up OpenAI research that we haven't seen before. And I think that they have probably specifically trained it on human actions in completing tasks over time. Like I

said, OpenAI is known for doing this. They are, whether you like it or not, known for pioneering technologies like Chain of Thought or even just large language models themselves. ChatGPT is kind of when AI went mainstream, and companies like Google, Meta, X, all followed in their footsteps, creating

their own models now the tricky part about all of this is interacting with the computer to actually complete these tasks there's a lot of speculation about how that might all play out for example Claude computer use right now just takes screenshots and then has commands set to

move the mouse to this coordinate and then click or move the mouse here click and then input these characters from the keyboard which works fine but it's still pretty clunky I'm really thinking and wondering about how OpenAI might tackle this problem have they built their own

software that runs on a Mac or Windows PC that navigates the web all by itself in a way that isn't the traditional mouse and keyboard interactions and how does it tie in to the large language model obviously it's going to have to be multimodal honestly if I had to take my

best guess OpenAI has somehow figured out a way to train the model directly on the computer actions so while the model is thinking and reasoning in real time via text tokens it can also produce tokens that translate into computer actions now I'm not an AI researcher or

scientist here so take that with a pretty big grain of salt but to me that seems like the most natural and effective way to implement something like this like I said I have minimal knowledge I don't even know if if this comes with some challenges or barriers

that I just can't see because of my lack of knowledge anyways the scheduled time of release for Operator is early 2025 potentially January which seems like very soon which would mean that they've been working on this for a while but again that wouldn't be something new for

OpenAI, they like to surprise us. GPT-4 Omni with the advanced voice mode was a surprise when they first announced Sora. It was a very shocking surprise because it was a lot better than any video generation model we had seen prior. And even though they still, all the way at

the end of 2024, haven't released Sora to the public, the rest of the AI space has caught up pretty quickly. Which means that there's no doubt in our minds that OpenAI is very capable of delivering something that meets what Sora advertised to us. So we will have to see

in early 2025 if Sora lives up to our expectations from OpenAI, which are of course the highest in the industry. Many of you might have also heard that AI has recently hit a wall with remarks from top people at OpenAI saying that scaling much beyond GPT-4 doesn't seem to

yield much better intelligence results. And of course when I say scaling, I mean the parameter count, the parameter size of the models themselves. And I think this was pretty obvious to anyone who is watching the industry. We didn't know exactly when we were going to hit a

scaling wall with traditional Transformer architecture, but it was obviously going to happen at some point. And now that it seems pretty clear that this is where the wall hits, around you know GPT-4-ish territory, a shift in direction is absolutely needed. And I mean, over the course of this year we saw

that quite clearly with the release of the Chain of Thought models, which open up a new scaling vector. We have figured out where the scaling wall is with training. This is around the parameter size with the data that we have and the architecture we have to achieve the

results we're looking for with current hardware. Any larger than that just doesn't make sense, but now we can scale in time. We can scale while you're using the model during inference. The longer the model thinks, potentially the better the answer we get. And right now we have

access to the 001 mini and 001 preview models which do just this, and they are a lot better. But Sam Altman was recently quoted saying that the 001 preview and 001 mini models are like the GPT-2 of this scaling, which means we have a long way

to go in terms of scaling in inference time. So is AI slowing down? Has AI totally hit a wall? No, not really. We hit one wall, but we've opened up a brand new door, and the wall is super far away. So we've got another couple years before

that wall gets hit. And then again, we have yet another form of scaling of course with operators for this new model, which I expect to be fundamentally different. How many steps for a task can you give it? What kind of tasks will it be able to execute? And how far can we

push it? Those are the big questions, right? That's why I really do think that next year, 2025, is going to mark a significant change in the industry. There is going to be a larger focus, especially if this operator hits home, towards more autonomous agents. We've

been experimenting with autonomy for years now, but haven't got too far. If this is a huge leap, well, everyone's going to know it's possible and work on it till the cows come home. And we could expect even open-source computer vision models in 2025, which would be insane. The

The real reason I think a lot of things that OpenAI does are so exciting is not necessarily because you get access to the OpenAI technology itself, that is an exciting part, but the more exciting part is the way the rest of the industry reacts and then tries to copy and catch up to OpenAI as soon as possible. And with that, we get things like free models, open source models, and overall cheaper costs. Competition is great for the consumer. If OpenAI and Sam Altman are to be believed about Operator, it's going to be the next big shift in AI. Now is probably the right time to consider the implications as well.

First of all, let's talk about job loss. We already are seeing it with the AI technology we have today. ChatGPT, just text generation as a whole, has already done crazy things, but you still need a human to at least prompt the AI, take out the text, put it somewhere else. With something like Operator, it can do probably the whole job all on its own, and you'll just need someone to essentially delegate tasks. So job loss is definitely a concern. And by the way guys, just as a side note, I still have yet to see any like really convincing plans to deal with AI-created job loss in the economy. If you have any ideas, if you've heard anything that seems like a good idea, let me know because I'm not really like fully convinced on anything, even like UBI.

I don't know, man. Anyways, obviously there's also going to be other concerns like privacy and security. If you've got an Operator AI just controlling your computer, who says some wack job can't install it on your computer and jailbreak it to do nefarious things?

Criminals with AI could be very, very dangerous, so that's something that OpenAI is typically pretty decent at dealing with anyways. And I bet this thing will be nannied down, so if you're concerned about that, I wouldn't be too concerned, at least in the early stages of 2025.

When we should be concerned is when the open-source models start to come, the open-source computer use models which have more power potential, so more extreme good and more extreme bad outcomes are possible. This isn't the first and won't be the last time that I

reiterate this point, but we have just barely dipped our toe into the water of what AI is truly capable of, even without new expanding technologies such as operator current AI technologies haven't even been remotely close to being fully exploited and used to their full

potential. There are still new ways to prompt ChatGPT for certain use cases and scenarios that haven't been explored, and the same goes for every other modality such as art generation, music generation, image input, the list goes on. My conclusion, folks, is that the AI

explosion is not slowing down. It is very real. It might take small breaks, but it never truly stops. And I still firmly, years later, believe that this is probably the largest boom in technology that the human race has ever seen, taking into account things like electricity, taking into account things like the

invention of fire back in the caveman days. Um, it's, it's really crazy. If the human race can push AI autonomy to its limits, what can't it do for us? And of course, uh, that would lead us into the whole ethical discussion of AI. Can it

become sentient can it become conscious would it have rights if it did I'm not going to get into all of that because let's be real that's for a separate video but something to think on something to think on it's really interesting because in the past 3 and a

half 4 years we've seen literal magic happen before our eyes and us all get access to it and then get accustomed to it to the point where I don't know if I'd want to go back to living life without having chat GPT by my side it's

very very useful and yet still a lot of people doubt the power potential of AI technology and the change that it can enact on our future I'm just saying guys I don't see the magic stopping anytime soon there's a lot to do there's a lot

to see in the future is definitely going to look like the future and I know that might seem a little bit intimidating but here's something for you to remember as we end this video you my friend watching right now are already more up to date than the general population which gives

you somewhat of an advantage and I know the sympathetic among you might say hey that's not really a great thing we want to make sure everyone's caught up and I'm with you I'm trying I'm making videos about it but the truth of the

matter is that a lot of people don't really understand they don't know what it's capable of and they don't know what's coming so if you love your family if you love your friends educate them and continue to be optimistic about this technology because remember there really

is no reason to be negative sure there's reason to be openly critical about things but to think yourself into negativity about the future serves no purpose I know easier said than done but trust me when I say I've done a lot of thinking about this stuff and optimism

really seems to be the best path forward for maintaining your mental sanity as the world gets crazier and crazier so yeah let me know what you guys think in the comments I really want to have a great discussion with this also please join my Discord server there's a lot of

AI focused folks on there who are thinking about this stuff as well and would love to talk about it the more we discuss the more we think the more novel connections and the more prepared we can be for the upcoming explosion of AI technology thanks so much for watching

I'll see you in the next video and and goodbye [Music]

Open AI's "OPERATOR" AI Agent - Release Date & Speculation

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곧 출시될 OpenAI의 AI 도구: 연산자

OpenAI에 대한 소개와 AI 분야에서의 선도적인 입지를 소개합니다.

복잡한 작업의 자동화를 위해 설계된 2025년 초에 출시되는 새로운 AI 도구인 Operator를 발표합니다.

운영자의 목표는 웹 조사 및 비교가 필요한 프로세스를 자동화하여 복잡한 작업을 간소화하는 것입니다.

클로드의 컴퓨터 사용 모델 및 Microsoft 에이전트와 같은 기존 AI 도구와 비교하여 오퍼레이터의 혁신 잠재력을 강조합니다.

오퍼레이터는 인간의 작업 완수에 대한 OpenAI의 연구와 학습을 기반으로 한 새로운 아키텍처를 갖춘 멀티모달 모델이 될 것으로 예측합니다.

운영자의 구현과 관련된 도전 과제 및 규정

기존의 마우스와 키보드 상호작용을 넘어 운영자가 컴퓨터와 상호작용할 수 있는 방법에 대해 논의합니다.

OpenAI의 접근 방식에 대한 가설: 컴퓨터 동작에 대해 직접 모델을 학습시켜 텍스트 토큰을 컴퓨터 동작으로 변환합니다.

2025년 초에 출시될 것으로 예상되며, GPT-4 Omni 및 Sora와 같은 이전 OpenAI의 놀라움과 비교됩니다.

GPT-4의 매개변수 크기와 관련하여 기존 Transformer 아키텍처의 확장 벽에 부딪힌 AI에 대한 논의.

001 미니 및 001 미리 보기와 같은 생각의 사슬 모델과 모델을 사용하여 추론하는 동안 시간에 따라 확장하는 방향으로 전환합니다.

001 프리뷰와 001 미니 모델을 GPT-2와 비교한 결과, 스케일링 추론 시간에서 갈 길이 멀다는 것을 알 수 있습니다.

AI는 발전을 멈추지 않고 새로운 확장 방법으로 초점을 옮겼다는 결론을 내렸습니다.

운영자의 역량과 AI 산업에 미치는 잠재적 영향에 대한 질문입니다.

자율 에이전트에 대한 관심 증가와 오픈 소스 컴퓨터 비전 모델의 잠재력을 예측합니다.

경쟁을 통해 OpenAI의 혁신이 더 넓은 AI 커뮤니티에 미치는 긍정적인 영향에 대해 논의합니다.

우려 사항 및 윤리적 고려 사항

AI 자동화로 인한 일자리 대체에 대한 우려.

AI가 컴퓨터를 제어하는 것과 관련된 개인 정보 보호 및 보안 위험에 대한 우려.

AI 개발의 초기 단계와 오픈 소스 모델을 통한 긍정적 및 부정적 결과의 잠재력에 대해 강조합니다.

AI 개발은 빠르게 진행되고 있으며 아직 그 잠재력이 완전히 실현되지는 않았다는 점을 다시 한 번 강조합니다.

AI 붐을 인류 역사상 중요한 기술 발전과 비교합니다.

AI의 지각과 의식의 윤리적 고려 사항에 대한 간략한 논의입니다.

AI의 미래에 대한 정보를 얻고 낙관적인 태도를 유지하도록 장려합니다.

행동 유도: 다른 사람들에게 AI에 대해 교육하고 긍정적인 시각을 유지하세요.

Open AI's "OPERATOR" AI Agent - Release Date & Speculation

Open AI's "OPERATOR" AI Agent - Release Date & Speculation

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