We spoke last in March. Your prediction was that AI was increasing at a rate as fast as 100 times per year, and that by 2029 or 2030, we might see AI as capable as 8 billion humans. Are you still seeing that pace? Yeah. It's a difficult thing to quantify exactly. But I certainly feel comfortable saying that it's getting ten times better per year, which is, you know, let's say it's, you know, for years now, that would mean 10,000 times better. So. But maybe 100,000. Yeah. And it's. I think it'll be able to do anything that any human can do, possibly within the next. Year or two. And then. That was what? How long? How much longer than that to take to be able to do what we're all humans do combined? I think not long. Probably only. Three years from that point. So it's like 20, 2029 is 28, something

like that. The other conversation we've had, and you came out on the same side as Geoffrey Hinton in this was 80% probability. It's going to be awesome. 20% probability. We're screwed. Are you still on those odds? Yeah. I mean, one could say it's most likely going to be great, and there's some chance, which could be 10 to 20%, that it goes bad. The chances aren't zero that it goes bad. But overall, at one point, you said the cup is 80% full is one positive way to look at it. Maybe 90%.

Musk Says There's a 10% to 20% Risk That #AI Goes Bad #technology

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Musk Says There's a 10% to 20% Risk That #AI Goes Bad #technology

Musk Says There's a 10% to 20% Risk That #AI Goes Bad #technology

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