We're getting a result right now.
The French government falls after a no-confidence vote in parliament.
The no-confidence motion passed with 331 votes.
288 were needed. Not too surprising given how closely you followed this, but what's your immediate

reaction?
I mean, look, it means there weren't any defections.
Michel Barnier called for responsibility. He doesn't seem to have won over any of the MPs. He was hoping it would particularly
target the centre-left party, the

Socialist Party, who have been in
government in France many times in recent history.
The question was whether some of those parliamentarians might be willing to
abstain from this vote to try and save the government.
He doesn't seem to have convinced them

with this message.
That's the number in and around what we expected, because it's basically: if you
add together the left-wing alliance, Nupes, Le Pen's far-right National Rally,
those parties put together gave us that total of around 330.
So it looks like they didn't manage to

convince anyone to cross the line.
It's a result that's pretty much in line with expectations, but now opens up
the question of what happens next. What will Emmanuel Macron do?
He's just landed back in France in the past few minutes from a visit to Saudi
Arabia where he was trying to brush off

a lot of these press questions at
home and continue with international affairs to little avail, as everyone
just wants to ask him what he plans to do after this vote.
He had been asked on many occasions whether he might resign, and he
says that's not an issue.

It's not even in question that he would do that. Of course, his term runs until 2027. So we now set ourselves up for a timeline where the French president can take as long as he likes to appoint a new government. We don't think he's going to leave it

that long, but it does plunge us into a sort of political vacuum now. We'll have a caretaker government to keep current affairs running, but it's going to make those big challenges, like dealing with the budget, even more difficult. Stephen, do we have a good idea of who

would likely be the next prime minister and what that new government would look like?

We don't. There are a couple of names that have been floated around, but it's not a specific list of people that have been floated.

You could imagine that Emmanuel Macron would try and pick from, if not his own political family, those who've already said that they would ally with him. There had been a question before Michel Barnier was picked as to whether he

might be able to pick a politician from the Socialist Party, that center-left party, and thus bring them into this center alliance that he was trying to create. But they couldn't agree between the left-wing parties on the same candidate that Emmanuel Macron wanted; that was bound.

in the realm of speculation. There's no rallied support around anyone. There is no obvious candidate for who would take over because the challenge facing the person who takes on that role is that they have the same parliamentary math to deal with. Michel Barnier was dealt a very difficult hand.

He didn't have a majority in Parliament. He did his best to try and build a way of working. He always said that he was leaving it to Parliament to be able to legislate and negotiate on important matters. That's failed. You have to ask who would be brave

enough to step into those shoes because it's a pretty nasty hand of cards, to be honest. That's exactly where I want to go. We're getting some commentary from France Unbowed lawmaker Mathilde Panot, who says that, quote, 'Finally, the Barnier government has fallen along with

its violent budget.' Today is a historic day. What does a budget look like in France after this process? Well, look, we go into this situation where we're going to be going month to month from January. There is very little hope that

even if a government was formed tomorrow, that they would be able to resuscitate this current budget plan and actually get anything in place by the end of the year. So either way, when it comes to the end, the 31st of December, we're rolling into this with those minimum service French

states that are going to be in place from January of next year. And that's going to bring back in those questions around tax rises for a lot of households who are paying income tax, those rises for pensions as well. And there were specific things like extra financial aid for farmers, which

Now, it won't be paid out because that won't go into the budget bill. So the next immediate step is that there will be a motion that will need to be passed in Parliament to, I suppose, activate these temporary measures to keep the state running, keep the lights on, if you will.

There's not expected to be any major opposition to that because no French politician wants to be responsible for, you know, no welfare payments being paid early next year. So there's not an expectation that we will have anything but this month-to-month situation operating from January

with a larger budget deficit and with the pressure that's going to push on France's borrowing costs and international markets as well.

French Government Falls After No-Confidence Vote

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불신임 투표 후 프랑스 정부 몰락

불신임안이 331표(필요 288표)로 가결되었습니다.

예상 투표 블록에서 이탈하지 않습니다.

사회당 의원들을 흔들려는 미셸 바르니에의 시도는 실패로 돌아갔습니다.

결과는 좌파 및 극우 투표를 기반으로 한 예측과 일치합니다.

마크롱이 사우디에서 프랑스로 돌아온 후 언론의 문의가 쇄도하고 있습니다.

마크롱은 사임 의사를 부인하고 있으며, 그의 임기는 2027년까지입니다.

관리인 정부가 현안을 관리하게 되면 여러 가지 문제가 발생할 수 있습니다.

차기 총리 후보로 뚜렷한 후보가 없습니다.

마크롱의 연정 또는 사회당의 잠재적 후보에 대한 추측이 난무합니다.

차기 총리는 바르니에와 같은 의회 문제에 직면하게 될 것입니다.

마틸드 파노가 몰락한 정부와 예산에 대해 언급한 내용입니다.

세금 인상, 연금, 농가에 대한 지원에 영향을 미치는 예산에 대한 불확실성.

의회의 동의가 있으면 국가를 계속 운영하기 위한 임시 조치가 발동됩니다.

1월부터 월별 운영이 예상되어 예산 적자 및 차입 비용에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상됩니다.