터키의 경제: 암호화폐, 금융 및 예측

### 터키의 경제 과제와 재무 예측
* 🇹🇷 터키의 경제 상황은 복잡하며, 다양한 요인이 **터키의 금융 안정성에 영향을 미치고 있습니다.**
* 💵 터키 리라화 환율은 주요 관심사이며, **연말까지 36~37 리라에 이를 것**이라는 외국 기관의 예측이 나오고 있습니다.
* 🏦 고금리를 포함한 중앙은행의 정책은 **통화를 안정시키고 외국인 투자를 유치**하는 데 목적이 있습니다.
* 📉 그러나 특히 높은 인플레이션과 대외 부채에 직면한 상황에서 **이러한 조치의 지속 가능성에 대한 우려**가 있습니다.
* 🏗 이 나라의 경제적 어려움은 **무역 적자, 수입 패턴, 생산 문제**에도 반영되어 있습니다.
* 🧠 재무부 장관인 메흐메트 쉼섹은 **이러한 경제 문제를 관리하는 데 중심적인 역할**을 담당하고 있습니다.
* 🗳 2025년 조기 선거 가능성을 포함한 정치적 고려 사항은 **터키의 경제 전망에 또 다른 복잡성**을 더합니다.
* 🔮 터키 경제의 미래는 여전히 불확실하며, **다양한 요인**이 그 궤도에 영향을 미치고 있습니다.

주요 주제는 경제입니다. "경제는 부채, 인플레이션, 외국인 투자 등의 문제에 직면해 있어 전략적 의사 결정과 잠재적인 금리 인하가 필요합니다."

Hello, I am Murat Muratoğlu, the dark lord of the economy. The incense money you see in my hand is a centuries-old tradition from the Far East. Whenever I burn it, it brings a serious change in money flow. It is placed here and as it brews slowly, it almost calls for money. Look, it has already arrived. Let me go back a bit in the story. They said, Murat, we will be the greatest in Turkey, we will need the forces of darkness. Of course, who is bitlo bitlo, my first love on YouTube, the Crypto currency exchange on the internet, bitlo.com, called me. They said, We have great respect for these people who rely on your fast narrative and cold jokes, and we want to give them a New Year's gift. Exactly 3.5 years ago, in December 2020, we gave free Crypto money to everyone with bitl. On that day, Bitcoin was around 149,000 liras, now it is 2 million 150,000 liras. But I told you that day, Look, this situation is quite good at 14400%. Isn't Trump good in the American presidential system? His promise of presidency has made America the Crypto capital and Bitcoin a superpower. This means that cryptocurrencies are

Billions of dollars will flow, this guy, crazy, released Bitcoin shoes, selling each pair for $300, and alongside, the infamous psychopath, Elon Musk, also known as X, if chosen, who will stop Trump? You may like or dislike cryptocurrencies, understand or not, but the future of this world, you must be a part of it. That's why I'm coming to you with 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, 800, 900, b000, a full 1000 liras. Not for me, for you. In fact, click the link below and sign up, everyone who signs up can use 1000 L for a week. If you lose, don't be sad. If you lose, it's on us, but let's say you win. Let's see if this profit is yours, whether it's 200 lira, 600 lira, or 2,000 L. Just imagine if you have family, friends, acquaintances, ten more people trying their luck with you, hop, that 1000 lira is already in your account. Even if you lose the money, suddenly you see your lazy uncle or your grandmother has hit the jackpot, the money is sitting there meekly. I think you shouldn't withdraw, but it's up to you. There, I haven't seen anywhere with 3.5-year-old customers

Don't sleep, watch me with your family, relatives, and friends. Click on the link below, look at the explanations. The rest is done, there won't be any mistakes, but if there are, write below. Has it finished or not yet? How much money will it make you? Stay tuned there. Your capital is ready to spend a thousand, it has never been easier. Double your profit, let it stay with you. Join Bitlo now and take your first step into the world of cryptocurrency with advantages. Come on, let your era begin. Especially in this program, I don't narrate finished matches, I make comments. I try to tell not what happened but what will happen. So today, we will change our perspective a bit. Stop, we will change, did we change? What dream do you have in this farm? What will you plant, how much will you plant, where will you sell the product? This is the economy. So, what will you do with the money you earn? Will you save it, invest it? When you invest, will you put it in the stock market, go to the repo, or buy bonds? Ah, this is financial economics. It deals with the quality of life, can we buy a better house or car? What about red meat, which is valid for Turkey.

Can we understand the story of finance? Will the dollar rise again? When will the interest rates drop? What is the situation with loans and reserves? But these financiers are a minority; most of them are professionals. By nature, they are programmed to always look optimistically at the market. Because a large part of them makes money when the markets are doing well. If this person does everything according to his book and never makes a mistake, then they say, Okay, he's got it figured out. The Central Bank increased the interest rates, it needed to be increased. Bravo, they did the right thing, let's buy. The Central Bank decreased the interest rates, it needed to be decreased. Bravo, they did the right thing, let's buy again. Of course, when the goal is to make money from money, they won't just sit around in empty environments. When the AKP came to power in 2022, Kemal Derviş had prepared a program, which was fantastic and ready. He followed this program without deviating from its main principles until 2013. The AKP, so sweet. The late Kemal Derviş, a university professor and later worked for the World Bank, United Nations, and such, a true man of the town. Is there anyone beyond being an economist? And what about Mehmet Şimşek, he worked as a strategist and had Turkey, the Middle East, and Africa on his plate.

He conducted financial analysis on them. He even managed a fund. Despite his political career being related to the economy, he focused intensively on finance in his work life. Just as I described, since Mehmet Şimşek managed the country's economy, we also need to look at it from his perspective. Of course, our financiers are so happy about this, I swear, even Polyana would stay with them in admiration. His daughter would wonder what they are using in their heads. Mehmet Şimşek, in the field of economics, seems to have deviated from the essence of economics. He says, Let my existence be a cover for Turkish existence, as if he has eaten the minimum wage earner, civil servant, retiree, and employee like a thorn to a camel. The best model for them will be to implement that, meaning, the only thing he looks at is whether money comes from abroad, whether the dollar will not increase as much as inflation, at least until the new year, and whether it will not make money. I'm not saying this, the Central Bank says it six times. If you convert your money into Turkish lira, you will actually earn more money in foreign currency, he says and guarantees this, even if nothing weird happens. So, does the Central Bank have enough power to do this? I'm saying it very clearly, it has more than enough power.

What was the explanation on July 23rd? Look, it says here blah blah blah, what is this real appreciation in Turkish Lira that will reduce inflation, the real appreciation will not increase the dollar, it will earn Turkish Lira, reserves will seem to decrease for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It

He will exchange his currency, collect his interest, replace his surplus currency, and leave. Because until then, he will stay. In fact, clean money keeps coming here. Foreign investors have also believed in this situation. I will tell you the year-end predictions of the institutions. HSBC 36, Fitch 36, Deutsche Bank 37, BNP Paribas 36, Commerce Bank 35, Morgan Stanley 36, Wells Fargo 32.5. In other words, it will drop by another 50 cents. They say it will stop. My prediction is it will close around 37, 37.5 at the end of the year. Of course, this is Turkey, there is no way out from here. If they make a weird decision, things will change. But many foreign institutions at these levels believe so. If you offer nearly 4% interest per month in dollars with such low risk, because the dollar is stable, I say this, otherwise, you are actually receiving that much Turkish Lira interest, but when you convert it to dollars, you are getting 4%. Tell me, where else in the world is this? The annual interest on America's 10-year bonds is 4%. We, on the other hand, multiply that 4 by 12 months, January, February, March, November, December. It will leave a significant profit if the dollar doesn't increase. The problem is they started this policy on the wrong

The level was wrong. Don't tell me. Real effective exchange rate index. It's not just based on actual inflation figures and where it started. Many developments are included in the price. No one can calculate its real price. If it were, there would be billionaires everywhere. I will say it's not about plans and programs because there is no concrete evidence. But before that, leave the concrete, go out to the streets, compare Turkey to foreign country prices in Italy, France, Spain, London. It's expensive here. That alone is enough actually, but I will still show you why it won't work like this. The annual foreign trade deficit is 87.5 billion dollars. How did it improve? The main item of imports, raw material imports, decreased by 115%. Gold imports were banned, went underground, and worse, consumer goods imports increased by 120% between January and June. What does it mean? Since raw materials are decreasing, our production is decreasing, and since consumer goods are increasing, Turkey is no longer producing because it's expensive; goods are directly imported. Can't you do it in Turkey? You can, but if Chinese goods are cheaper, what.

You will have to deal with it, spending will be restricted as the market tightens, so the current account deficit will seem to decrease at first. But then it will bubble up badly; it will burst in a very obvious place, but you will see there will be no rush. Who the heck did this calculation again? Do they know basic math? More importantly, do they have a degree? Oh, what will you do with a degree today? Every portfolio benefiting from Turkish Lira interest will eventually turn to the main position again, it's all about the dollar, their only concern is when to turn back. But in this process, the goal is to turn to the congregation and ask, Do you have one more prayer to perform? to earn more merit, the reward is in looking at the money. As I said, none of them will stay in Turkish Lira; the decision-making phase will begin as soon as they receive their earnings. Is this enough, or should we switch to the dollar now? The gambler's dilemma is already there; direct investment does not come to this country. If you say the Chinese are coming, my son, then watch the video you shot first. They will invest before 5 cents leave their pockets. Since the decision is made, then people think like this: it's time to simplify from the automotive companies traded on the stock exchange, isn't it?

I'm telling, I'm telling, how's it going, should I get some tea? You enjoy yourselves, let me continue, this is my duty. Damn it, maybe I also have a self-confidence issue. Let it go, I don't trust anyone, not Kry trade, but some of the fund managers making significant portfolio investments in Turkey, my friends, I ask them openly, What do we have to do with the Turkish lira forever? What if the exchange rates suddenly rise? Oh, then they will incur significant losses, all their plans will fall apart. But I ask, We have insurance, they can't allow it, they say. The real story is if the exchange rates increase, inflation also increases, not actually. Because if inflation increases more than expected, everyone according to their intentions, please proceed to the funeral prayer. In situations like this, the happiness numbers of TUIK come into play anyway. Look, this Monday, the inflation figure for July will be announced. But the previous month received so much reaction, like doctor's fee 34 lira, house rent 5,000 lira, olive oil cheaper than olives. By the way, this time, I think they will announce closer to the truth, fearing %3.

If it comes out under 3.5 inches, he will never be a man under any circumstances. By God, it means he has blinded his eyes. Emir is coming from the palace, but the issue is not the exchange rate; it's another main story, the country's debts. Only a quarter of Turkey's debts are fixed interest, that is, 25%. We know how much we will pay for that part. The remaining 75% of our debt is in foreign currency. It was indexed to gold and inflation. They were all variable interest rates. If the exchange rate rises, the part indexed to foreign currency increases, and you will pay a lot. The part indexed to gold also increases, and again, you will pay a lot. Since inflation will rise, that part will also increase, and the debt to be paid will double. Therefore, keeping the exchange rate low is essential with this borrowing structure. Normally, this will continue for a long time, but during this process, these obstacles will always come up. They try to patch the budget with taxes because revenues fall short against expenses. Even if the public works as if in a feudal system, working only for the state, it is not enough to cover their expenses. My Mehmed would ask, Where did you find this money? while preparing the tax package for those who spend more money than they earn. He would bring the informal economy into the formal economy and impose new taxes on companies.

It was supposed to happen, none of it did because touching the rich exceeds Mehmet Şimşek's limits. Mehmet, give some height; look, the man is drowning. Even if it was Mehmet Şimşek himself, he couldn't reach the rich. Most of his offers didn't pass muster. The savings package turned out to be full of lies; not a penny came. Now, it's time for the 3rd Tax Package. Those with a high number of properties won't sit idle; they took the air out of the market before the stock exchange. It won't be that easy. Now, it's the second Siege of Vienna. But even if it happens, it will be a bit trimmed. He started to panic slightly. Is this guy doing it for pleasure all this time? Does he enjoy hearing curses? Is he crazy? Since it's not working out, it's clear there's no solution left. They brought the man in, and he found the bomb in his lap. The countdown has already begun. What could he have done? But even within the AKP, there was a strange antipathy towards Mehmet Şimşek. Whoever is close to the party starts with This man has gone crazy, the polls are at rock bottom. Erdogan is also trying to change the subject.

He is working on something, but he can give the good news in a nutshell. There are only 34 months of mosque stock left, so what should he do when all the gold is gone? Mehmet, how long can he endure in that seat, calculate sitting is very important. But he receives a lot of strong reactions when he takes action; all colors quickly get dirty. This time, they gave the first place to Mehmet; a friend tweeted, Leave the economy, it's now a political issue, quite simple, but not. Let me show you this way: the tweet he posted shows the number of foreign visitors to the country and tourism revenues. Mehmet Şimşek claims that there has been a significant increase. By the way, the data he received is from the Group TK under his authority. Enough, let's look at the graphs he posted again, let's read the sentence below: A positive outlook continues in tourism. How naive and innocent this expression is, right? It seems like there is an increase; the rates and graphs seem manipulated, creating a visual feast. In reality, it's like almost the same as last year, but the difference in the other graph is that they exaggerated it so much, making it seem like there is a significant increase. If he has already started to deviate to these paths, the situation is not good. Why did he need this? I wonder. It's been almost a year since Mehmet Şim

Metropol Research Company also asked, Do you think the economy in our country has been managed well or poorly recently? When they say recently, who is there recently? Mehmet Şimşek. And the results came out; 18.3% of the public thinks, Wow, the economy has been poorly managed. I have been explaining for years; I guess it is working somehow. There is no support from the public, so the program that the Financial World likes does not exist. But the economy is the concern of 85 million people. And there, you read a signboard. Pay attention; it could be me. Whatever comes to my mind, I show the door to a few with a decree about the law. But it's still too early for Mehmet because foreign investors do not forgive this mistake. Still, Mehmet Şimşek cannot enter with Erdoğan to the elections. However, if there is an early election, it will be more evident. On March 31, 2025, he said, 2 from you, 2 from me. In terms of years, things will change completely at that time. Oh, I remembered. Cevdet Akçay recently said there will be no interest rate cuts. I think it's a mistake. Since you don't increase the exchange rate so much, don't give guaranteed money, reduce the interest rates, and they will stop again.

Indeed, Goldman Sachs wrote a report saying Turkey will cut interest rates in September. JP Morgan said if interest rates are cut, Muratoğlu will sign it until October. I also think interest rates will be cut in October. I wonder if Cevdet Akçay, who signs the interest rate decision, may not know that the interest will be cut. Because they have written it confidently, what are they relying on, a great loss of prestige, really. I have more to tell, but you seem bored, ZD. But I have come up with a solution for this. I am starting to shoot short videos on this path, where I will explain important concepts, important figures, important events, important crises of the economy in a fun way for about 8 minutes. It's free for everyone who subscribes. Oh, speaking of free, click the link below, grab the money, paste it into crypto, it will last 7 days, 24 hours, put the profit in your pocket. You never know, don't deposit other money. Finish that 1000 liras, check the rest next week. I say you must have friends or acquaintances, don't act shady. Don't hear it from me, I'm putting the money in your pocket, hold on, this is just the beginning, I say my heart is with you, power is with us. K Kara Burak, my dear, Kar Burat is mine.

DOLARINIZLA VEDALAŞIN! | MURAT MURATOĞLU

Murat Muratoğlu

무료 암호화폐 제공: 좋은 아이디어일까요?

com은 신규 가입자에게 무료 암호화폐를 제공하고 있으며, 지난 경품 행사 이후 비트코인 가치가 크게 상승했습니다.

이 회사는 수익의 잠재력을 강조하며 암호화폐의 세계에 참여하도록 사람들을 독려하고 있습니다.

경제 논평으로 유명한 무라트 무라토글루는 이 행사를 홍보하고 암호화폐가 사람들의 삶에 미치는 영향에 대해 논의하고 있습니다.

금융 정책이 터키 경제에 미치는 영향

금융 전문가들은 수익을 내기 위해 시장에 대한 긍정적인 전망을 유지하려는 경향이 있습니다.

터키 중앙은행은 외환보유고를 줄이더라도 인플레이션을 낮추고 터키 리라화 환율을 안정시키는 데 주력하고 있습니다.

중앙은행이 사우디아라비아에 수십억 달러와 이자를 송금하기로 결정한 것은 일시적인 외환보유액 감소에도 불구하고 부채를 줄이기 위한 조치입니다.

터키 리라화 및 외국인 투자에 대한 예측

여러 금융 기관은 연말까지 터키 리라화 가치가 50센트 더 떨어질 것으로 예상하고 있습니다.

외국인 투자자들은 미국 달러의 안정성과 터키의 높은 이자율에 매력을 느끼고 있습니다.

터키의 소비재 수입 증가와 원자재 수입 감소는 생산 감소로 이어져 향후 경제 버블을 일으킬 가능성이 있습니다.

환율 변동이 터키 경제에 미치는 영향

터키의 펀드 매니저들은 포트폴리오 투자에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 환율과 인플레이션의 급격한 상승으로 인한 잠재적 손실에 대해 우려하고 있습니다.

터키는 외화 부채와 변동금리 부채 비율이 높아 환율 상승에 취약하며, 이로 인해 지불해야 할 금액이 크게 증가할 수 있습니다.

정부는 비용을 충당하고 세수 부족을 해결하기 위해 기업에 새로운 세금을 부과하고 비공식 경제를 공식 부문으로 끌어들이는 방안을 고려하고 있습니다.

메흐멕 쉼섹은 공약을 이행하고 재정적 해결책을 마련하는 데 어려움을 겪고 있습니다.

AKP 내에서도 그에 대한 비판과 반대가 커지고 있습니다.

또한 관광산업에 대한 긍정적인 전망을 제시하기 위해 데이터를 조작했을 가능성이 있다는 의혹도 제기되어 그의 행동과 결정에 대한 우려가 더욱 커지고 있습니다.

메흐멧 심섹이 터키 경제에 미친 영향

메흐멧 쉼섹은 경제 운용에 대한 대중의 비판에 직면해 있으며, 18.

3%가 그의 성과에 대해 부정적으로 평가하고 있습니다.

금리 인하 가능성에 대한 추측이 난무하고 있으며, 골드만 삭스와 JP 모건의 상반된 예측도 나오고 있습니다.

이러한 가운데 선거와 경제에서 심섹의 미래는 여전히 불확실합니다.