SK하이닉스 현재 시장 포지션 및 투자 전략

### 투자 전략 및 시장 인사이트 주요 권장 사항
* 📉 현재 SK하이닉스는 매도 포지션으로, 특히 **삼성전자가 7만원에 도달**하면서 숏 포지션 가능성을 시사하고 있습니다.
* 📈 한화금융지주, 농심, 오뚜기 등의 종목이 **10~15% 상승할 것으로 예상**되며, 하나금융투자는 **DRAM 수요 전망 개선**을 근거로 **SK하이닉스 등 추천**했습니다.
* 💼 외국인 투자자들은 이달 들어 **SK하이닉스를 순매수**하며 **순매수 1위**를 차지해 시장 분위기가 바뀌고 있음을 알 수 있습니다.
* 🔍 SK하이닉스는 **17만5000~18만원 내외에서 매수**에 초점을 맞추고 한미반도체와 퀄컴반도체에 대한 대체투자를 고려하는 신중한 접근이 바람직합니다.
* 📊 특히 **한화금융그룹이 추가 자사주 매입**을 통해 주주 환원을 강화할 것으로 예상되는 등 금융업종이 크게 성장하고 있습니다.
* 🎮 크래프톤은 신작 출시를 앞두고 있으며, 주가는 **34만~40만 원 사이에서 등락**을 거듭하며 향후 성장 가능성을 시사하고 있습니다.
* 🚀 데이터 센터 및 메타버스 부문의 주식은 **15만원에서 20만원 사이였던 크래프톤의 과거 기회**와 유사하게 롱숏 전략을 권장합니다.
* 💡 전반적으로 단기 트레이딩 기회에 초점을 맞추고, 특히 **통신 및 엔터테인먼트와 같은 섹터에서 시장 역학 관계의 잠재적 변화**를 모니터링하는 것이 강조됩니다.

SK하이닉스의 현재 포지션은 최근 추천에도 불구하고 수요에 대한 우려가 지속됨에 따라 매도입니다.

Right now, SK Hynix's position is sell. When Samsung Electronics just reached 70,000 won, I believe a short position will definitely be established. Let's buy then. Hanwha Financial Group, as well as stocks like Nongshim and Ottogi, are expected to jump by about 10% to 15%. Now, there is a recommendation from a securities company that includes SK Hynix. Hana Financial Investment recommended SK Hynix, Hana Financial, and Krafton. The reason for recommending SK Hynix is that the concerns about weakened demand were alleviated in Micron's earnings report, and the outlook for DRAM demand this year has been revised upward, with price increases also expected. Additionally, foreign investors have been net buyers, ranking first among foreign net purchases this month. What do you think about SK Hynix? Sell? Why? I've been holding SK Hynix since it was 150,000 won and advised to sell at 190,000 to 200,000 won.

I provided a strategy, and the position indicated in the brokerage reports is not your bottom position. It’s always like this; at a somewhat ambiguous level, an upward angle is formed. I have been observing brokerage reports for nearly 40 years, and when reports come out, I often lean towards selling. When a stock receives a lot of attention in the market, like SK Hynix, I consider SK Hynix when it reaches 175,000 won or 180,000 won. If it doesn’t reach that, it’s not attractive to me. From 200,000 won, it could go up by another 10%, so for example, 220,000 won is possible. If it goes up by 10%, I wouldn’t consider anything in the 200,000 won range. Instead, I would focus on companies like Hanmi Semiconductor, whether it's HPSP or in the CXL sector, or Qualitas Semiconductor for certain components. Therefore, I believe the current position of SK Hynix is a sell. As I mentioned earlier, when Samsung Electronics was nearing 10,000 won...

I think this will definitely be a short. Let's buy at that time. We should respond with a long-shot strategy. Personally, I would not recommend buying at 200,000 won for Enix. Now, after the third and fourth quarter financial statements, Hanwha Financial Group is expected to conduct additional share buybacks, and it is anticipated that the total shareholder return rate will rise, comparable to competitors. However, most financial stocks this year have provided significant excess returns compared to the market, despite the overall index performance. If you look at Hanwha Financial Group, it's currently at a high point. I wouldn’t recommend it either. So, I would suggest a trading approach for Hanwha Financial Group; if it drops by about 10% to 15%, that's when to enter. The same goes for Krafton. If you look at Krafton, new titles are expected to be released starting from the fourth quarter, focusing on intellectual property (IP) concentration.

Concerns are easing, and the outlook seems positive. Right now, we're seeing prices in the range of 340,000 to 400,000 won, and there's talk that it could exceed 400,000 won. In the short term, I anticipate a fluctuation around the 300,000 won mark. This suggests that we are already witnessing a rise from the bottom, and the market is discussing the reasons behind this increase. There needs to be something new. Perhaps new developments in Chinese energy that we hadn't anticipated could emerge. 

So, rather than just focusing on Krafton, I believe we should look for something in the data center or metaverse sector that could provide new energy. It's similar to Krafton when it was priced around 150,000 to 200,000 won. There are companies like Dextre and other data center-related firms that are also on the rise. We should consider investing in these cloud service-related stocks as well.

Next, I would like to mention that for those who are engaged in daily trading, making a profit from two to three trades is possible, but I do not recommend trend trading. In the future, the competition for shares in companies with similar structures will become very active. However, by studying the potential targets that will emerge, you can identify the key points that will help you grow your assets through this course. I have first selected ten groups based on probability. As you study each one, you may not know which will come first, but when related information arises, you can focus on the key targets, which will greatly assist you in gaining profits in real trading. Next, I recommended Nongshim, SK Telecom, and Samsung Life in the Korean market. In the case of Nongshim...

The domestic business is alleviating the burden through the re-contracting of raw materials, and exports are positively impacted by the increase in the average selling price of European products. I believe this is a good sign. Currently, the bottom price is 52, which is the lowest. So, while it shouldn't be around 550,000 won, the stock price is at around 350,000 to 320,000 won. This is a contrarian strategy. My priority is on stocks like Samyang Foods, Nongshim, and Ottogi, which might see a rise of 10% to 15%. The reason is that the liquidity is low. Overall, while I don't expect a broad resurgence, there seems to be an opportunity for short-term trading. So, I’m looking at Nongshim, but I think Samyang Foods might be a better option since Nongshim could take a bit longer to rise. There could be some differences in that regard. Next, regarding SK Innovation...

I recommended Samsung Life because the volatility of the competition's Bulla 10 index is high, highlighting the attractiveness of dividend stocks such as telecommunications. It is expected that the capital starting law will be revised, and Samsung Life is likely to be included in the value-up index in June next year. Samsung Life is currently around the 100,000 won level. However, I had previously targeted this stock in the 70,000 to 80,000 won range. If they aim to create a Samsung Financial Holding Company, it seems like a game of increasing collateral. If it reaches 100,000 won, there will be places to sell. I think it will hover around 100,000 won, with a range of 98,000 to 102,000 won. Meanwhile, we need to see if the Samsung Electronics stake held by Samsung Life is actually sold in a big deal. If that happens, it could lead to a new environment. So, at the 100,000 won level, I would sell half, but if it drops about 10% from there, I would consider buying again. I view this as a governance game and plan my strategy accordingly.

I would like to highlight that SK Telecom looks better for buying than KT. However, I believe that our telecommunications sector in Korea has entered a new phase. Beyond dividend investments, we are moving into areas like aerospace, 5G, and even 6G, as well as data centers and various additional services that will likely be built upon the telecommunications foundation. Therefore, I would suggest a strategy of buying SK Telecom and holding it long-term.

The term value-up has come up, and indeed, the financial sector has seen significant demand and growth this year, especially with value-up programs. Looking ahead, I'm not entirely sure which sectors will thrive, but I do believe that the Korean stock market will change. I think that surpassing the 3,000 mark will be influenced by the management of hedge funds.

I believe that participatory equity will be the driving force. So, everyone, I have this in Excel, and the reference date is September 24th, the day the value-up information policy was announced. I check the value-up stocks daily in Excel. First, I look for those that have increased compared to the reference date of September 24th. Then, I found that IS Petasis has risen by 10%, and next, Park Systems has increased by 11%. I see these as the ones that are starting to take off. Although it's said that value-up related ETFs are being formed, they haven't materialized yet. It feels like when President Moon Jae-in was in office, BBIG was born. It's been a long time since we heard about that. Once the fund is established and capital is raised, these stocks will be purchased in order. At that time, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix will be formed, but I already see that the trigger has been pulled, and Next has already risen by 40%. This is now a short-term situation.

It seems like the selling position is a bit difficult, and because of this, I'm looking into the information technology sector. However, there hasn’t been any real movement here yet. Companies like Hyundai, Kia, and SL Automotive parts, as well as Golfzon, have all seen significant changes. It appears that Kia and Hyundai have entered a negative zone, dropping about 10%. So, it looks like they are now at the lower end. For the time being, before the funds come out, Kia is expected to stay within the range of 90,000 to 110,000 won, while Hyundai is expected to remain between 220,000 and 260,000 won. In order for these ranges to break out, it seems that Samsung Electronics needs to establish new support and resistance levels around 70,000 won. 

On the financial side, there is a lot of red. As of September 24, this isn’t something new; it seems that financial stocks have been on the rise since the beginning of the year. However, as of September 24, the financial stocks that are performing best are those from Meritz. Meritz Financial Group started at 20,000 won, and now it has become one of the most prominent players, similar to the past performance of Lotte Group in Chuncheon.

A lot of real estate PF has been heavily invested in Meritz. But what strategy has Meritz established? They have set up an aggressive strategy. Instead of just liquidating debt, they created more funds and lent them to Lotte at high interest rates. As a result, the profits from that have been significant, which is why I believe this has led to a surge in the leading stocks. Following this, Hanwha Financial Group and Shinhan have started to imitate this strategy. I think Meritz Financial Group's position is relatively strong. Now, what time is it? I will try to shift this to insurance. For example, by moving some of the shares from Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance and DB Insurance, there are quite a few attractive positions. So, I believe I can change the value-up strategy from banking to insurance and fire insurance. Additionally, these days, the entertainment sector is also showing signs of activity, especially in the value-up area.

The market is showing some signs of movement, and as of September 24th, there has been a significant drop in certain stocks. However, with increased trading volume, it seems that there are opportunities for growth. If you sample these changes daily, it might help you find the right timing for your investments. It looks like it will still take about one to two years for ETFs to become established, so we can take a long-term approach. With this strategy, it might be better for beginners to focus on identifying stocks related to value-up. I encourage you to use Excel for this strategy. 

Additionally, LG Electronics and SK Telecom have joined the value sector. What do you think about this? Personally, I am in favor of actively buying LG Electronics, especially around the 90,000 won range. I believe it should follow a box strategy. Recently, there has been some noise from hedge funds concerning the LG Group, particularly involving the chairman's son-in-law, Mr. Yoon.

Those who are involved and the various noises related to the LG Group indicate that, on the ground among fund managers, rather than following a trend, they are just trading. Look here, in the 110,000 won range, good reports are coming out, but the stock keeps getting hit. On the other hand, 90,000 won is a support level. So, buying in the 90,000 won range and selling in the 110,000 won range is okay, but going for a trend is not yet possible. If you look at the LG Group, most are excluding SOL. Here, LG Energy Solution has a high of 320,000 won and 340,000 won, which is a buying opportunity at the lower end. However, it keeps falling when it reaches 420,000 won and 430,000 won. In the short term, I think it will be around 420,000 won to 440,000 won, depending on how President Trump handles subsidies and the situation with Tesla. That said, I don't think it will rise to 320,000 won.

Around 370,000 won is a good buying point, but this one doesn't have much cost-effectiveness. Rather, the lower end of the LG group, which includes LG Electronics and LG Innotek, is noteworthy. Didn't the stock prices drop? However, from 170,000 to 203,000 or 204,000 won, it has fallen by about half over a six-month period. Still, I feel that there will be some momentum connected to LG Innotek, especially regarding our country's smartphones and Apple. For trading, I would actually recommend LG Electronics and LG Innotek. Looking at this, it seems like a long-shot strategy, and I would like to suggest it.

As for SK Telecom, I see it as a buying strategy similar to KT. I believe that the telecommunications sector is facing a new turning point by 2027 in various aspects. For those who have been trading KT and SK Telecom, it must have been quite nerve-wracking, but now it is time to buy and hold for the long term.

I would like to recommend this strategy. Additionally, I suggested Hyundai Mobis, HD Hyundai, and Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering. In the case of Hyundai Mobis, expectations are rising due to global collaboration and shareholder returns. As the global alliance between Hyundai and GM becomes more concrete, growth in the electrification sector is anticipated. What do you think? From my perspective, it looks promising for the long term, but as I mentioned earlier, around 260,000 won for Hyundai Glovis, it seems to be a short-term peak. Therefore, I would like to suggest a half-selling strategy. I recommend monitoring Hyundai Glovis and Hyundai Mobis for about three months, and then considering how to adjust your position with Hyundai AutoEver. If Hyundai Mobis finds support at 260,000 to 270,000 won and breaks through 300,000 won, that would indicate a significant new phase.

It seems that gold and silver will continue to rise. Therefore, for Hyundai Mobis, we actively sent our recommendations when the price was around 210,000 to 220,000 won, as a multi-bottom pattern emerged. However, currently, there seems to be profit-taking and selling pressure. As I mentioned earlier, splitting and merging these positions at the current price level can be a burden. Instead, I would recommend considering Hyundai Auto and Kia with the strategy of focusing on those stocks.

Secondly, regarding HD Korean Shipbuilding, it seems that stable sales and orders are highlighted. HD Korean Shipbuilding is currently positioned at the upper end. This year, it has been one of the sectors that surged dramatically, similar to bank stocks. Therefore, at the current price level, it lacks value for money. Trading could be possible if it falls between 170,000 and 160,000 won, but I would not recommend it above 200,000 won. Instead, I would suggest looking at shipbuilding equipment or shipbuilding stocks.

Rather, Hanwha Ocean, this refers to the future state of warfare, specifically the deployment of warships and submarines. Furthermore, with China's National People's Congress taking place in March next year, if another wave of war-related noise or disruptions arises, it will involve Taiwan. Therefore, some hedge fund strategies are discussing a significant shift from TSMC to Samsung, which I know from overseas hedge funds. We will see if that strategy is valid. Next, Hanwha Ocean is related to the old Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering, right? Submarine technology. If the U.S. and China collide over Taiwan, there will be deployments of destroyers and submarines. Additionally, due to security and intelligence relationships, the U.S. will not entrust our country's naval capabilities to anyone other than Hanwha Ocean.

I believe that the position is actually lower than that of Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME) in Korea. Therefore, I would recommend a long-shot strategy even within HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, suggesting a sell on Ocean and a buy on HD. 

Next, regarding Seojin Systems, they have extensive experience in the energy storage (ES) equipment sector, claiming to have secured high productivity and price competitiveness through their facilities and other means. They are expected to achieve significant performance growth in the market, which is promising. 

While there are various discussions about the research institute, I would like to inquire about this in relation to solid-state batteries or Samsung SDI. As you can see, Samsung SDI recently dropped from a peak of 380,000 won to around 320,000 won, and today there is a sharp increase. I believe that the return on investment in Samsung SDI could be better than that of Seojin Systems, particularly given the price range of 320,000 won as the lower limit and 380,000 to 400,000 won as the upper limit.

The system suggests that if we consider Samsung SDI, we should adopt a strategy that involves supporting three companies, or we could also include the Korea-China NCS. I would like to send you that trading perspective. This year, K-beauty and food have shown surprising growth, and many stocks have risen as well. What are the factors behind this, and how do you view 2025? I believe a cycle has come to an end, and now we only seem to have the deflationary wave left. 

In the deflationary wave, related to obesity treatments, companies like Blue M Tech, and in the food sector, places like Buldangmyeonok 20, could be part of short-term trading strategies surrounding their listing periods. Unlike in the past when we focused on companies like Buiti Food, now we should look at K nuclear power, K defense, K reconstruction, and K satellites. These sectors will likely continue to expand in 2025, given the ongoing wars, conflicts, and proxy battles between North and South Korea. I anticipate that the won-dollar exchange rate will surge, and we should consider related aspects.

The K-beauty sector should be experiencing a compression. If you look at this, please check out CLIO. K-beauty was the first to lead in this area, but it seems like profit-taking is already starting to happen. As for the strategy with CNC Entertainment, look at this; it has already broken down. It seems like this trend ended around July and August. Simply put, during July and August, the situation was manageable, but now, it seems that companies like Inventis and CS Entertainment are facing challenges. VT appears to be holding up the best among them. However, I believe we must definitely cut off at 23,000 won for VT. The same goes for Silicon; after a sharp rise, it seems to be entering a correction phase, and the supply and demand aren't supporting the price. While the performance is improving, expectations have risen too high, leading to profit-taking when prices increase. As for Advanced Beauty Science, it has already broken down, and it seems that the trend has already reversed.

So, even if there are dips and waves, I don't think the market will lead. I think it would be better to focus on beauty stocks instead. However, I want to approach that just as a short-term trading strategy during the time of the IPO. As for the trend this year, I would diagnose it as if one game has ended.

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SK하이닉스 및 기타 주식에 대한 투자 인사이트

SK하이닉스의 현재 포지션은 매도이며, 삼성전자가 70,000원에 도달하면 잠재적인 숏 포지션이 예상됩니다.

하나금융투자의 SK하이닉스 추천은 DRAM 수요 개선과 외국인 순매수를 근거로 하고 있습니다.

한화금융그룹, 크래프톤 등 다른 종목도 검토 중이며, 가격 하락 시 진입하는 트레이딩 접근법을 제안합니다.

일일 트레이딩 인사이트 및 주식 추천

일간 트레이딩은 2~3회 매매로 수익을 낼 수 있지만 추세 트레이딩은 권장하지 않습니다.

한국 시장에서 농심, SK텔레콤, 삼성생명을 중심으로 기업군을 연구하면 자산 증가의 주요 목표를 파악할 수 있습니다.

농심의 주가는 현재 35만~32만원 수준이며, 삼성생명은 내년 6월 밸류업 지수에 편입될 것으로 예상되며 목표가 범위는 98,000~102,000원입니다.

가치 상승 종목 분석 및 투자 전략

9월 24일 이후 IS페타시스, 파크시스템 등이 눈에 띄는 상승세를 보이는 등 참여형 주식이 주가 상승의 원동력으로 보입니다.

밸류업 관련 ETF가 출시될 것으로 예상되지만 아직 구체화되지는 않았고, 기아차와 현대차는 현재 마이너스권에서 움직이고 있습니다.

메리츠금융그룹의 공격적인 전략으로 인해 한화와 신한금융그룹이 이를 모방하기 시작하면서 두각을 나타내고 있습니다.

LG그룹과 SK텔레콤의 트레이딩 전략

펀드매니저들은 현재 LG그룹 주식을 추세를 따르기보다는 9만원대를 지지선으로 삼고 매매하고 있습니다.

LG에너지솔루션의 주가는 단기적으로 42만 원에서 44만 원 사이에서 등락을 보일 것으로 예상되며, LG전자와 LG이노텍은 매매 추천 종목으로 꼽히고 있습니다.

SK텔레콤과 KT는 장기 매수 기회로 보고 있으며, 현대모비스와 현대글로비스는 성장 잠재력과 단기 고점 대응을 위한 반매도 전략이 제시되고 있습니다.

금과 은 가격이 상승할 것으로 예상되어 현대모비스에 대한 추천이 이어지고 있으며, 현재 차익실현과 매도 압력이 존재하고 있습니다.

현대미포조선은 매출은 안정적이지만 현재 가격에서는 가성비가 부족해 17만원에서 16만원 사이로 하락해야만 매매 기회가 있을 것으로 보입니다.

서진시스템은 에너지 저장 부문에서 큰 폭의 성장이 예상되며, 삼성SDI는 최근 주가 하락으로 서진시스템에 비해 투자 수익률이 더 좋을 수 있음니다.

삼성SDI와 K-뷰티 성장에 대한 트레이딩 관점

삼성SDI의 전략은 3사 지원과 한-중 국가직무능력표준(NCS) 지원입니다.

올해 K-뷰티와 식품 분야가 놀라운 성장세를 보였지만, 디플레이션이 이어질 것으로 예상됩니다.

2025년을 내다보면 K원자력, K국방, K재건, K위성 등의 분야는 지속적인 분쟁으로 인해 성장이 위축되고, K뷰티의 성장은 압축되고 차익 실현이 가능할 것으로 보입니다.