Hello, this is Daily Money. These days, there are many issues in the United States. The Federal Reserve surprised everyone by lowering the benchmark interest rate by 0.5%, breaking the expectation of a 0.25% cut. Additionally, there are only about two months left until the U.S. presidential election. In the past, the significance of the U.S. presidential election was more focused on security, but now, as more people are directly or indirectly investing in U.S. stocks and ETFs, there is a growing interest in who will be elected as the U.S. president. The direction of investments depends on this, so it seems that people are paying even more attention to the election process than before. This election is so close that even experts find it hard to predict the outcome. Investing in sectors that favor either the Trump or Harris trades could lead to a precarious situation if not approached carefully.

What sectors are most advantageous in this situation? I believe it could be the areas that both parties are actively promoting or those that, regardless of significant opposition, will be vigorously pursued by either party as soon as the presidential election concludes, no matter who becomes president. So today, I looked into the common beneficiary sectors and ETFs that are safe to invest in ahead of the U.S. presidential election, regardless of who wins. I categorized the sectors expected to thrive irrespective of the election results into three main areas: defense, AI infrastructure, and biohealthcare.

First, the defense sector is considered to have the least uncertainty regarding the election. Both candidates, Trump and Harris, recognize the necessity of modernizing the military. Both former President Trump and former Vice President Harris advocate for an America-first policy. The second area is AI infrastructure.

The relevant sectors are as follows: Above all, building power infrastructure to keep up with the rapidly increasing demand for AI in the United States is an urgent task that needs to be addressed, regardless of who becomes president. Currently, big tech companies in the U.S. are leading the way in establishing AI data centers, and the replacement cycle of the aging power grid in the country is also a favorable situation for domestic related companies. 

The third sector is biohealthcare. Both party candidates have made promises related to biohealthcare, and both the Republican and Democratic parties are jointly promoting a biosecurity law to counter China, which is advantageous for domestic companies that will benefit from this situation. 

Now, let’s first take a look at the defense industry. I have summarized three defense-related ETFs from our country. One of them includes stocks from the top domestic defense companies, while the other two focus on U.S. defense firms like Lockheed Martin.

There is an active ETF that includes various companies in the defense industry, known as the Plus K Defense ETF, which was launched by HwaHwa Asset Management in January. This ETF focuses on investing in ten key companies in the defense industry that are recognized worldwide for their verified technological capabilities, including Korean Aerospace Industries. It tracks the FM Guide K Defense Industry Index and has shown a performance that slightly exceeds the basic index, achieving approximately 94% returns since its listing last year. 

Next, the Time Portfolio Global Space Tech Defense Active ETF consists of companies related to aerospace and defense in the United States, South Korea, and Europe. Since its listing in April, it has shown a return of 9.64%, which reflects its performance against the basic index, the Solar Active Aerospace and Defense Sector Index. 

Lastly, the U.S. Aerospace and Defense ETF is based on the S&P Aerospace and Defense Index, fully representing the American defense industry.

우리나라에서 유일하게 기업들에 투자하고 있는 ETF가 있습니다. 지난 22년, 우리 자산 운용에서 상장한 이후 수익률 성과를 보시면, 기초 지수인 SM 피 항공우주 방위 산업 섹터와 유사한 42.63%의 실적을 보여주고 있습니다. 미국과 중국, 러시아의 패권 경쟁의 핵심인 우주 항공 산업과 현재 양당 후보가 자국 우선주의에 방산 정책을 내세우고 있어서, 미국 우주 항공 방산 ETF의 향후 성과 또한 탄탄히 우상향할 것으로 예상됩니다.

다음은 전력 AI 인프라 분야입니다. AI 산업이 발전할수록 미국 국내에서 급증하는 AI 전력 수요는 커질 수밖에 없습니다. 따라서 AI 전력 인프라 구축은 어느 쪽이 대통령이 되어도 적극적으로 추진될 프로젝트라고 예상됩니다. 그럼 미국 AI 전력 인프라 기업들을 구성 종목으로 담고 있는 국내 상장 ETF 네 개를 정리해 보았습니다.

If we compare the four ETFs: Kodex US AI Power Core Infrastructure, Plus Global AI Infrastructure, Tiger Global Infrastructure, and Active ETF, the one with the lowest ongoing costs, including trading commissions, is Plus Global AI Infrastructure. All of them were listed after July of this year, but among them, the ETF with the largest net asset value is Kodex US AI Power Core Infrastructure ETF. Now, let's take a closer look at the composition and weight of the four power infrastructure ETFs. The Kodex US AI Power Infrastructure ETF includes key US AI power infrastructure companies, such as Vertiv Holdings, which provides data center power and cooling services, and Constellation Energy, which is the number one company in nuclear power revenue in the US. Next, let's look at the top holdings of the Kodex US AI Power Core Infrastructure ETF.

Constellation Energy, the top company in nuclear power generation, has a 14.5% share, while the leading company in power infrastructure has an 11.60% stake. G, the top company in the U.S. for violent power generation facilities, and MCO Group, a data center construction service company benefiting from the U.S. government's power AI benefit policies, are also included. NVIDIA has positioned itself as an official partner of major tech companies like Microsoft, and these companies are key components of its portfolio. 

Additionally, the global AI infrastructure has a somewhat unique composition. It invests 25% in one AI semiconductor stock and allocates the remaining 75% equally across AI infrastructure stocks. Currently, this semiconductor stock is NVIDIA. The company has partnered with Amazon, which is investing approximately 202 trillion won in data centers over the next 15 years in Virginia and Oregon.

Arista Networks, the number one global sales company, is a leader in AI, providing data center cooling systems through Vertiv Holdings, among other stocks that make up AI infrastructure. This time, there is the Tiger Global AI Infrastructure Active ETF. This ETF invests in a total of 30 stocks across three themes in the global AI infrastructure sector: data centers, power, and raw materials. 

In the field of fourth-generation networking technology, which is crucial for AI data centers, Arista Networks is a leading player, along with Dell Technologies. In the power infrastructure sector, it includes companies like Eaton, Constellation Energy, and Schneider Electric. All four of these companies went public in July, August, and September of this year, so the performance comparison is not significantly meaningful yet. However, they show similar trends due to their comparable stock compositions. Finally, there is Bayer Healthcare.

This is the field of pharmaceutical and biotechnology. As these sectors invest large amounts of money in research and development, they are often influenced by traditional interest rates. Recently, a 0.5% rate cut was initiated as part of a significant monetary policy shift. In the case of growth stocks, the funds invested are often sourced through the financial sector, making lower interest rates advantageous. In particular, biotechnology stocks are being highlighted as common beneficiaries in the context of the U.S. presidential election, whether Trump or Harris gains the upper hand. This analysis suggests that they are likely to attract more attention given the current interest rate cycle.

Based on the pledges of the two candidates, I have summarized three domestically listed biotechnology healthcare ETFs that are expected to directly benefit. The first ETF, listed in 2014, is the Tiger U.S. Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF, which is based on the U.S. Nasdaq Biotechnology Index. It has been listed for three months, focusing on stocks in the fields of bioengineering and pharmaceuticals, with a market capitalization of over $200 million and an average trading volume.

The portfolio consists of companies with a market capitalization of over 100,000 shares. The second is the Kodex U.S. S&P 500 Healthcare ETF, which was listed by Samsung Asset Management in March. It is a domestic version of the global-sized S&P 500 Healthcare Sector ETF. The XLV ETF uses the healthcare sector index as its underlying index and is composed of pharmaceutical, healthcare services, medical equipment, biotechnology, and life sciences companies among the S&P 500 firms. Major constituents include obesity treatment leader Eli Lilly, Johnson & Johnson, and UnitedHealthcare. The Korean version of the Kodex U.S. S&P 500 Healthcare ETF invests in similar constituents with comparable ratios. Since its listing last year, it has consistently recorded returns that exceed the benchmark index, steadily trending upward. Now, with the base interest rate situation starting to shift and the U.S. presidential election nearing its conclusion,

Because of this, there are expectations for future ETFs. The biosecurity law that is about to be voted on in the U.S. House of Representatives is a very positive factor for domestic bio companies. The biosecurity law includes provisions that prohibit contracts with Chinese bio companies. If this bill passes, the activities of Chinese bio companies in the U.S. will be greatly restricted, and in turn, our country's bio companies are expected to gain indirect benefits. Representative bio companies expected to benefit include Samsung Biologics, Yuhan Corporation, and Hanol BioPharma, which are included in the Tiger 200 Healthcare fund. Launched in 2015, Tiger 200 Healthcare invests in domestic bio-healthcare companies. Therefore, the capital gains are tax-exempt, and only a 15.4% withholding tax is applied to dividend income. However, since the distribution rate is extremely low, general investors may find it less appealing.

I believe it is feasible to manage from the account. There is an ETF that tracks stocks in the healthcare services sector among the KOSPI 200 constituents. One of the largest pharmaceutical companies in Korea is Yuhan Corporation. Expectations are growing that changes in U.S. drug pricing policies will impact revenue positively, leading to a strong performance. Samsung Biologics, which is being identified as a direct beneficiary under the U.S. biomanufacturing law currently being pursued, and Hanol Biopharma, a company developing biosimilar antibody drugs, are included in the constituents. The Tiger 200 Healthcare ETF ranked first among the top 10 ETFs in terms of returns from August 2 to September 2, achieving a monthly return of 16.92%. Compared to the underlying index based on the KOSPI 200 healthcare management index, it shows a slightly lower performance in terms of returns.

After the U.S. presidential election concludes, I have organized today the sectors that could benefit from either the Republican or Democratic candidates being elected president. To briefly summarize the ETFs mentioned today, the first beneficiary sector related to the U.S. presidential election is defense. The ETFs focused on domestic defense companies include Plus K Defense ETF, Timefolio Global Space Tech Defense, and the U.S. Aerospace Defense ETF. 

Additionally, there are domestic ETFs related to AI power infrastructure, which is experiencing a surge in demand in the U.S. These include Sol US AI Power Infrastructure, Codex U.S. AI Power Core Infrastructure, Plus Global AI Infrastructure, and Tiger Global Infrastructure Active ETF. 

I have also outlined promising sectors such as biohealthcare ETFs, which are common policies for both parties, along with interest rates. These include Tiger U.S. Nasdaq Bio, Codex U.S. S&P 500 Healthcare, and Tiger 200.

I introduced healthcare. In the last U.S. presidential election, the candidates' promises led to stock price increases after they became president, so interest in the U.S. elections seems to be even hotter. I hope the information about the ETFs selected as common sectors in the U.S. presidential election will help you with your investments. Please subscribe, like, and set notifications right now. I will return with useful investment information and ideas.

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