Hello, I'm Seybyeok from the Investment Mind channel. Today, we are almost at the end of September, and October is just around the corner. We have strong expectations for a favorable trend in October, and we are prepared for a good flow. In today's broadcast, I want to remind you that during the downturns we experienced over the past few months, especially last year and the year before, it was crucial for us to build our investment gaps. This was a time when we needed to diligently pick up undervalued coins that others discarded. Earlier this year, we saw a brief mid-term rally in the bull market, and we went through a rather chaotic time in August that lasted longer than expected. I want to express my respect for all of you who have been patient during these challenging times, as enduring such a tough investment environment is not easy. You've held on well, and now it's time for you to reap the rewards.

After receiving this, you should fight against the monster called greed, and you need to win against it. Therefore, if possible, I recommend completely ignoring it. When the monster comes, do not engage; instead, prepare everything in advance. I have already discussed how to set things up during the weekend live broadcast. The members of Halaong and Doban have been preparing together for several months, and I have continuously communicated this to our subscribers. I also talked about altcoins during last weekend's live session. So for those who missed the live broadcast, please check it out. Currently, Bitcoin is slightly declining. It’s just a minor drop, but we are still on our path. Today, we will check the flow of the Bitcoin chart once more, and I believe it will follow the expected trend without any major surprises. What you all need to focus on now is whether...

The bull market lasts for several months, and you said that it keeps rising. The public is saying that the playing field has tilted again; it appears to be level. Usually, the angle of the field is slanted, and we are here while the financial elites are over there. No matter how hard we try to score, we can't because of gravity; our profits don't go up. At some point, it becomes level. Now, it has roughly leveled out. Then suddenly, it changes like this. What I mean is that everyone can easily score. Anyone who invests in coins will make money. So what happens? The reason the field changes at this point is that only 10% of the people are left because the financial elites have taken all the money. The playing field is changing in this seesaw game. When a heavier person sits on one side, it tilts like this.

It is tilting, right? This is because the financial elites have gathered all the quantities, and now it is about to tilt. So what happens? People will come back, and new people, the public, will all participate. Then what happens? It bursts and collapses again; that is the principle. Just remember this. Right now, we are in the process of this happening, and if you have good beans, you can just stay still and wait. You should consider whether the price will drop in a few months. You need to think ahead about this; there is no guarantee that it will keep rising. So today, we will have a time to prepare predictions for that. I don’t know exactly when, but we can estimate roughly when it will happen, maybe around December, or if it takes longer, possibly until March or April. However, if there is a rapid increase in October and November, you might see it end in December and January.

You just need to remember that. It could rise slowly until the peak in August, which means it could extend until February as well. Just keep that in mind. The Google Trends show no significant fluctuations, and the Fear and Greed Index is currently in the greed phase. It has dropped about 2%, but it’s still in the greed phase. It probably needs to drop a bit more to reach a neutral position. The premium is in a very clean state, as you can see. Also, regarding the RTC index, there won’t be any significant fluctuations. I will check whenever there’s a major change during the weekend, but I think there won’t be any big changes here either. There is an overheating situation in the futures market, and since it’s rising from the bottom, the red area indicates a negative value. This means that the spot market is leading, not the futures market. This indicates the presence of strong players in this area.

In the same case, a lot of volume is accumulated. Now, when the public participates, it rises here, turning blue again. You can still see that it is below yellow here, but you can see that it is just about to cross the yellow line. You see it, right? You can see it slightly. Now, we are slowly moving towards finally crossing the red line, but when will that happen? Once it crosses, there will be a lot of commotion, and while Bitcoin is fluctuating, altcoins will need to be sold for profit within a month from that point. I keep saying the same thing: you need to manage your profits well. I expect that subscribers from the early morning will do well and have a happy year ahead. I anticipate that there will be a harsh period coming, possibly due to economic recession issues, the Tether situation, wars, and other events.

There will be a tremendous and harsh realization happening, and I hope that during that time, you all can pick up on it, which is why I keep sharing the same story. So, it turns out that for several months, a cryptocurrency wallet was hacked on Google Play. What this means is that I brought this to your attention as a warning. There is an app listed on Google Play under the name Calculator or Math Tools or something like that. In reality, this app is designed to steal cryptocurrency from wallets on smartphones. So, whether you're on Google Play or similar platforms, and even though it's a bit less common on Apple, I urge you not to download any of these seemingly small calculator apps that someone posted on Twitter or recommended somewhere online. Please, do not go into those and do not download them.

In that field, apps that have around one or two top downloads have already proven their stability, so you should only use those. There are countless other apps out there, but you should absolutely avoid downloading smaller, new apps. These are often attempts to hack your accounts, and there have been cases where they have been compromised. Please be cautious. 

The adoption of Ethereum relies on two key pillars; however, the future growth of blockchain is uncertain. There aren't any significant articles, but there are discussions suggesting that the future of Ethereum is unclear and that its growth is in question. So, for those of you holding Ethereum, it might actually be good news when such articles come out. Ultimately, as these articles continue to emerge, we often hear about Vitalik selling Ethereum or someone else doing the same. And right now, Ethereum isn't rising.

The Abitrum era has begun, and Ethereum layer twos are currently struggling with coin prices. I believe that times like this are always an opportunity. The choice of investment is up to each of you, so please make your decisions wisely. I'm only offering my perspective, and I advise you based on that. The news doesn’t always provide the information you need; you have to discern what might be helpful to you. The real truth is often not well represented in the news, especially in the investment market. There is a trust issue revealed in the decentralized TUSD. This True USD is known to be backed by dollar reserves and invested in some risky assets, which has led to false claims. So, whether they have actually done this or if it’s just claims like SCGA is currently being discussed. You are essentially saying that the actual dollar is at a one-to-one ratio.

They're not doing it as one. I did it this way, but they haven't clarified their position on True USD. However, the reality could be completely different. True USD is actually a pretty good company, but they are using the SEC to target stablecoin companies like USDC or RL USD from Ripple. Right now, these stablecoin companies are trying to take down the others, and they are squeezing USDT. So, ultimately, it could be a way to clean up many stablecoin companies using the SEC. The truth is that no one knows; there could be real problems, or they might just be using the SEC to do this. But the important information we need to know is that in this world, behind the SEC, there are large financial groups doing something. They are taking down things like Luna and now Binance. This indicates that there are powerful forces moving behind the scenes. If they are doing something, then we should ensure our safety.

I want to mention that we need to keep an eye on USDC and RL USD. There has been an increase in app downloads for Bitcoin trading, which indicates retail investor interest. We have been observing the market for signs of a bullish trend, but it hasn't been very high, so we won't look at it this time. Typically, Coinbase sees around 175 apps entering during the peak of a bullish market, and it enters a bearish market when it drops below 500. However, it is now rising again, having increased to around 3852 as of September 28, after dropping from over 500. This is one of the indicators of a bullish market that we are monitoring. Additionally, the miners' indicators are also showing a slight rebound; miners were struggling, but now it seems to be getting better. If we are near the red zone, it could be a good sign. This is one of the on-chain data points we continue to observe. The funding rate is also in a very healthy state.

As you can see, the weather is clear. There’s nothing much going on. The deep blue color indicates that it went down to about minus one, and it really dropped to a significant minus, but now that the bull market is coming in, you can see it gradually coming back. However, it’s still on the lower side. If we consider around 99% to 10%, it’s still low. Overall, it looks clean. But definitely, it was around minus 0, minus 13, and now it’s coming back to around 10%. XRP is at around 10%, Dogecoin at 12%, and Bitcoin at 10%. This is a phenomenon that occurs when futures start to get a bit overheated before the bull market kicks in. Looking back over the past year, we can see similar situations. In 2023, there was a time when it was likely negative, probably around October. During that time, major YouTubers and overseas YouTubers were discussing the bear market.

It's been a time when everyone was anxious. I mentioned that October 2023 is similar to that time. There is a negative trend, right? It starts off negative but gradually begins to rise. Then, around the 20th of October, it starts to increase little by little, getting into the 10% range, and then it goes up to 20% and 30%. It fluctuates a bit, dropping back to 10% and then rising again. By December 2013, it reaches about 50%. There is some volatility here. In December, there was a rebound. Then, in January 2023, it started to rise again, and in March, we saw an altcoin mid-term rally. This is the pattern we are observing. Right now, there is a significant negative trend, but it is slowly starting to recover. So, we are waiting for the right moment. This is the situation from that point onward.

Starting from October, it took about five months, so if we consider that, it means that from now, in about four to five months, this will come out. You see how the gift market moves in a certain pattern, right? I will continue to monitor this and share it with you, so please don’t worry too much. The constant repetition of the same message about greed is the same thing. I believe that the answer lies in the truly boring aspects of investing. Only those who can fight and win against themselves will make money; others do not matter. It’s about how you can practice self-discipline while fighting against yourself. But I think that you can only learn how to win against yourself by continuously studying the same boring material. It’s impossible for someone to tell you where the peak is.

I think it's fundamentally impossible. As long-term holders, we expected that we would rise a bit from the bottom, and we are indeed seeing that progress. You can see here that the situation is good. Looking at the chart, we are observing the daily candlestick of Bitcoin. We anticipated that after completing this correction, we would embark on another rally. Fortunately, our expectations have been met. Around mid-September, we predicted that by the end of September, we would see a rise. We initially aimed for mid-September to mid-October, but happily, the rebound started from the third and fourth weeks of September. There was a bit of a rebound starting from the first week of September as well, but overall, the price is currently on the rise. If you look here, it is undergoing a correction in the middle, but this is something you don't need to worry too much about.

Right now, what color should I say? It's emerald green. In terms of the color, it has a 21 on the daily chart. It's fine if it dips down to around that level, but I don't think it will drop that far. Currently, the green line, which is the 11-day moving average, and the yellow line is the 10-day moving average, while the 20-day is 2 days and the 50-day is also 20 days. I apologize, I got mixed up; this is the 1-day and this is the 20-day. So, it's reasonable to expect it to dip down to around the 20-day line, but there's no need to be surprised. 

Ultimately, when we look at the moving averages, you should be concerned when there's a significant rise, like when the market was hot for about 3 to 4 months. But now, it's not unusual for it to crash from anywhere. Public participation has increased, and people are talking about Bitcoin everywhere on YouTube. At that point, you should pay attention to the moving averages.

You need to watch carefully. If the price breaks below the 20-day moving average, you should be a bit nervous. It would be good for you to study this in advance. There are aspects that I continue to monitor, but I'm not a chart expert, so I generally think that if the price reaches around 0.786, which is approximately $117,000, that would be significant. If it falls between $100,000 and $120,000, I don't know if this will happen in December, January, or even March of next year. The timeline is uncertain, but if it rises faster than expected, I believe this could be the peak we reach in the first half of 2025. I understand that many may disagree with my opinion, but I am taking a conservative view. I don’t have big ambitions; if Bitcoin reaches that level, then altcoins will likely see even greater increases.

There are coins that can go up to ten times, so even that much is a lot for me. For those who are confidently saying they will invest more, feel free to do so according to your skills. Now, this is the total market cap chart that we have been looking at with our friends over the past few months during the bear market and correction phase. We were watching that blue box, and we expected that the white horizontal channel would break. This time, we thought it would break, and indeed, it did break. I predicted that it would break this time, but I was wrong. However, whether it’s right or wrong, we said we would eventually get there, and we have now arrived at that point. So when you watch the broadcast, remember that it has broken through this time.

I think it's not a good idea to have too high expectations when I say it might not happen. If you set your expectations too high, you might end up disappointed, and it can make a person seem unlikable. It's like saying, Oh, you were wrong. Instead, what really matters is whether we get there or not. So, if you just hold on until we reach that point, you will definitely see profits. That is what we call a certain game. What you are trying to figure out is whether we will get there or not, which is uncertain and unpredictable. We have broken through here, and we are on our way. I think that by around October, given the current trend and the angle of ascent, we might see a peak around March 2024, touching the upper part of that blue box. After that, we might experience a bit of a pullback, but I don’t think it will drop too much. I expect some adjustments at certain points.

Next, I expect there will be a red box. So, based on my predictions, I think it will happen here in October, and then it will rise quite a bit in November. If it surpasses the previous high from 2021 in December, then everyone should be prepared to escape in January. I've discussed this a lot with our subscribers, and I want to give a little tip: let's work together to enjoy this bull market and take profits. Since we've made up our minds to do this, let's take a look. There has been a rising market for 148 days now. Each cycle has its own duration, so remember that there has been an increase for 148 days. From October 2023, keep this in mind. 148 days is roughly 150 days, which is about five months. However, when it goes up the second time, this will be a bit different.

It shortens because it rises steeply. But if we roughly estimate 148 days, that would be around February 1st. So, until the end of January, right? However, this length is surprisingly shorter, and later, when we look at the dominance chart, it becomes a bit shorter as well. The length has risen significantly over the past two years, so from here, it took 126 days to reach the top. This period isn't that long either. In this case, it was 128 days, and the rally lasted for 143 days, which typically spans 3 to 4 months. You see, this is really important. The rally period between the cycles of 2021 and 2017 was 3 to 4 months. You noticed that, right? And this time, it took 5 months. However, I believe this time might not take 5 months and could shorten a bit.

I think there is a little more to come, and the reason is that, well, this gold thing is not necessary. Let's take a quick look at this chart. This is the Nasdaq Blockchain Economy Index. It seems that Nasdaq has created an indicator for blockchain-related companies, but I’m not exactly sure what data they used to create it. However, I believe this is quite a decent dataset, and it has already approached its previous high. At that time, there was a 30% increase followed by a 50% increase. The Fibonacci levels were around 0.236 and then moved to 0.786. Now, if we consider a 50% increase again, it would be around 1.272. So, looking at this indicator, if it reaches around 1.272, it would surpass the previous high from 2021. I think we should predict that it will be a peak when it reaches around this level, based on several other indicators. Let’s take a quick look at what we were looking at earlier.

This is a chart of altcoin dominance that we referred to as the first, second, and third in the past. It took 385 days for the first phase to occur, and now it's dragging on at 380. The second phase during the bull market of 2021 took only four months for the altcoin dominance to rise. So, it's clear that the duration is getting shorter. In the current cycle, it took almost 293 days for the first phase. If we consider that it will take less than half of that time, we can expect around 130 days, or about four months, this time as well. This means we could potentially see an end by December or January. Ultimately, what’s important in the market is when the rally will start. Right now, it has already started to rise steeply, but if it slows down as it progresses, it might take longer. If it continues to rise quickly like this, then you all...

When you rise, don't think that you will keep rising indefinitely. Instead, when things rise significantly, you should think that it might be coming to an end. The principles of the world are quite simple. If the mountain is too high, your legs will hurt. If the mountain is less high, then your legs will hurt less. It's the same principle. If things rise more than you expect and rise quickly, you should think that it will come to an end soon. You just need to keep in mind that there is no continuous rise. My mood cannot be good all the time. It's said that money in the investment market isn't something anyone can easily earn, and we don't want to see people coming in and easily copying money, right? In this world, that's not justice, so such things do not happen. Just keep that in mind. Reflect on this: finally, our youngest son, Ripple (XRP), has finally crossed this line.

I crossed over the line here, and now I'm right here. So, our Halaang friends, please do not change the settings for your Ripple (XRP) designated sales; just leave them as they are. I will let you know at a certain point when I feel that the market itself is at its peak, after looking at the altcoin market and all dominances, as well as the data from Moonchain. At that time, I will check where the Ripple (XRP) price is and inform you. You can then decide for yourselves whether to sell off a little more of your remaining amount; that is your choice. What we can do now is limited, and we don’t know what the market will do. Ultimately, XRP will move with the market, so keep that in mind. Subscribers, you should start studying in advance because I mentioned that nothing goes up continuously; it's been a long time since Ripple and XRP have been in this situation.

Dear long-suffering subscribers, those of you who have been with us for several years, there's nothing to worry about. Here, you can see a line at 0.786, and then there are the channel ranges. Perhaps from now on, if suddenly there are articles about lawsuits or appeals, I don't know. But if that happens, the price will likely rise and then fall significantly. I believe it could drop to around 0.75. If that happens, retail investors might lose their composure. If it rises by 90 or 100% and then suddenly drops by 40%, it would definitely shake their confidence. We don't know what bad news might come next, but after that, the price might go up again. No one knows what will happen. So, I am roughly predicting scenarios like this, and I hope that our long-term subscribers can remain steadfast around this area, aiming for $1.

I sold everything after the price went up. I should have held on, but I really got burned this time. The rest, I will leave to your luck. I believe that you all can manage well on your own since I've already mentioned enough. We've studied a lot, right? This is the XRP and BTC chart, and this is the daily chart. Right now, we have this lower area here, and if the orange line is clearly broken, that will be important. Currently, on the BTC chart, it's fluctuating, but it hasn't broken through completely yet. We need to break through this lower area clearly. These are the critical points. We need to break through clearly here, and you can see it, right? One, two, and the third attempt is being made. It broke through once, but that was just a false break. One, two, three...

We're making progress. If we break through this level, we will finally be ready to move. I believe that preparations for Bitcoin are almost complete. As for the Ethereum chart, it has already broken through. It broke through and established support, then broke through again and established support twice. You can see a slight retest here, and it did it again. Now, during this retest, it's starting to rise for the second time. So, I think this time it will go up. I also believe that Ripple might move before Ethereum. However, if you want to sell your Ethereum to buy Ripple, that's up to you. 

Now, looking at the Bitcoin dominance chart, the key point on the weekly chart is what I've marked below as RSI. If you look at the RSI from 2021, it started from back then and during 2020, it had a brief run, and in 2021, we saw a significant bull market. At that time, it crashed heavily. Right now, we are seeing a similar pattern emerging.

It seems to be going similarly, so I think it will collapse like this. The RSI indicates that it’s not exactly the same as the bull market in 2021, but the pattern seems to be similar. So, I am roughly waiting for this to break down. If it clearly breaks through on the weekly chart, I believe that a time will come when major altcoins will move significantly. Now, I am waiting for this on the weekly chart. It hasn't happened yet, but I expect it to come out soon. The altcoin bull market is already starting, so I feel that altcoins are heating up a bit. However, the major altcoins have hardly risen, and they have only dropped about 2%. They need to drop significantly more, and I am waiting for them to fall to around this level. Now, regarding Ethos, I have nothing to do with Toss, and Ethos is a huge company.

As a YouTuber who doesn't engage in coin referrals, you can trust that I don't do that. I would like to receive advertising from Upbit. Upbit is a good platform that I also use, and I would actually prefer to advertise companies that do not engage in advertising like Upbit. If you look at Toss and Suwi, you can see that Suwi is currently at a very high point, almost back to its peak in March 2024. On the other hand, Toss is still at a lower level. So, these two are almost like twin coins, using similar language. The team behind this is the same one that worked on the Facebook Libra project. Today, there is a slight difference; in 2023, it seems like it has dropped almost to the same level as before. There is a lower shadow, but it can be seen this way. So, roughly speaking...

The charts are quite similar; one has risen by 290%, while the other has increased by 480%. So, the one with higher elasticity is better. It has shown better elasticity, and it has also withdrawn everything it gained. After that, it has withdrawn everything it gained from Ethereum as well. It is true that it is a very difficult coin to invest in, but if you endure, the returns can be good. Everything in the world is like yin and yang; when one rises, you lose something else. If the returns are good, the pain is also greater. However, if you have endured the pain, the returns will also be good again. I believe this is the principle of the world. On the other hand, the coins that have fallen are less painful, right? So, of course, in the case of Solana, the returns cannot be better than now. The reason Solana had good returns this time is that it went through a tremendous trial during the FTX incident, which is why its returns are good. So, there is always pain.

Those who endure will receive rewards. So, you are receiving rewards this time because you have endured. It's a very simple principle of the coin market. Since you have all persevered, I think it would be good for you to take a look at this ethos. There are a few R sides that I will skip, and I encourage all of you to revisit the previous broadcasts. I have included a lot of content in those broadcasts that I may not cover in the future. In today's broadcast, I might not continue to address the key charts here, so please make sure to watch this broadcast in advance. I won't delete it, so when we reach the peak of the market around December or January, refer back to this and remember that I mentioned a crisis around that time. It's important to make it your own; otherwise, the money won't become yours. The more you study, the more it becomes yours.

여러분들이 꼭 진짜 피하는 노력하셔서 이번 장에서는 수익 실현을 잘하셨으면 좋겠습니다. 온체인 데이터에 대해 크게 볼 건 없고, 다룰 것도 없습니다. 왜냐하면 지금 뜨거운 시기이기 때문에 여러분들이 집중해야 합니다. 그때가 되면 제가 다뤄 드릴 테니까, 여러분들이 그때를 보시고 “아, 드디어 여기 도달했네. 우리가 예상하던 선에 드디어 왔네.” 이런 생각을 하게 될 날이 올 거예요. 런 선에 닿을 때가 바로 그런 때입니다. 그러면 여러분들이 그때 “아, 이런 거 넘어갈 때 MB 디스코가 이제 드디어 올 때, 이제는 팔아야 되는구나. 이제는 나가야 될 때구나.” 이렇게 생각하시면 됩니다. 그런 때가 12월에 올지, 1월에 올지, 아니면 더 천천히 와서 3월에 올지는 모르겠습니다. 아무튼 지금 10월과 11월의 흐름을 여러분들이 잘 살펴보시기 바랍니다.

If we watch closely together and see that it rises more steeply than expected in October and November, then from December, you should start preparing. If it rises more slowly, you will have a bit more time. Just keep thinking in the same way. Thank you for listening to today’s broadcast, and I will greet you again on Wednesday. Thank you for tuning in. If you don’t give up, you will definitely succeed.

[🏆정규#128] 리플XRP 차트가 뉴스를 부른다/알트코인 상승 시간은 정해져 있다. #비트코인 #이더리움 #리플 #코인

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