Stock Market Analysis: Trends, Projections, and Investment Strategies

Kim believes the stock market may peak in 2025, suggesting a cautious approach amid declining growth rates.

### Analyzing the Stock Market's Current Trends
The stock market is experiencing a **significant drop**, raising the question of whether to **sell, buy, or hold**. A short-term peak and a reversal signal suggest **potential further declines**, but the current low stochastic indicator presents a **buying opportunity**. The stock's pattern and MBDI revenue growth indicate a **possible rise**, but the transition from 2024 to 2025 shows a **slight downturn**, leading to a **potential decline in stock price**.

### Sales and Stock Price Growth Analysis
The growth rate of sales has sharply decreased from **105% to 39.7%**, with a transition to a **two-digit growth rate** by mid-2025. Stock prices are expected to maintain momentum until the first half of 2025, with a potential peak leading to a **downturn**. The earnings per share (EPS) have dramatically increased by **288%** from 2023 to 2024, but are projected to **decline by 2025**, indicating a **significant decrease in growth rate**.

### Manufacturing Companies' Growth and Netcom's Performance
Manufacturing companies are experiencing significant growth, with rates **exceeding 70%**, which could lead to a rise in stock prices. Netcom's net profit for 2024 is 581, with an impressive growth rate of **127%**, but is projected to decline by **35%** by 2026. The company's cash operations are also expected to decrease, with a significant drop in net income by 2025, while ROE is projected to continue increasing until 2025, reaching around **99 or 100**.

### Projected Financial Downturn and EPS Trends
A significant downturn is expected in 2026, with a notable decline in free cash flow from **600% in 2024** to just **37% by 2026**. This reduction in cash flow is accompanied by a decrease in EPS estimates, with a slight decline anticipated starting in 2024 and continuing through 2030. Despite the challenges, there is a trend of **gradual improvement in EPS estimates until 2027**, suggesting a potential **positive impact on stock prices by the end of 2025**.

### Current Valuations of Major Tech Companies
Nvidia's P/E ratio is around **31 times**, similar to Microsoft, while Meta is at **22 times** and Amazon at **33 times**. The EV divided by operating profit shows Nvidia at **26 times**, with other companies like Microsoft, Google, and Apple having lower ratios. Nvidia is currently at a **reasonable valuation**, with **strong growth potential** compared to the other tech giants.

### Growth Potential and Valuation of Tech Giants
Nvidia has the lowest value at **1.049**, indicating **strong growth potential**, while Apple's high value of **3.86** suggests a **lack of growth**. Google and Meta are close to **1**, also indicating **significant growth potential**. The Magnificent 6, including Nvidia, are receiving **A+ ratings** in momentum, with **growth potential** being a key factor for **future stock price increases**.

### Stock Market Analysis: Current Trends and Future Projections
* 📉 The stock market is currently experiencing **significant price drops**, prompting the need to evaluate whether to **sell, buy, or hold investments**.
* 📊 At present, the market appears to be at a **short-term peak**, indicated by a **reversal signal**, and analysts are questioning **how long this trend will last**.
* 🔍 Historical patterns suggest a potential **decline similar to previous upward movements**, with the stochastic indicator indicating **low levels**, which may present a **buying opportunity**.
* 📈 Revenue projections for MBDI show increases of **0%, 120%, and 125%** from 2023 to 2024, suggesting that stock prices could **rise significantly** before a downturn in growth rates begins around **2025**.
* 💰 Earnings per share (EPS) have **increased dramatically by 288%** from 2023 to 2024, yet projections indicate a **decrease in growth rates** leading to 2026, highlighting a **potential peak around the first half of 2025**.
* 🏦 The gross margin is expected to remain strong, indicating **healthy fundamentals** for companies like Nvidia, which are showing **significant growth in profitability**.
* 📉 However, net profit growth for companies like Netcom is projected to **decline**, suggesting a possible **peak in growth rates** around 2026.
* 💡 Overall, while current valuations appear reasonable, the market is anticipated to experience fluctuations, and investors should remain vigilant as **growth rates decline** in the coming years.

엔비디아(nvda)언제가 피크를 찍고 내려오는지 데이터를 통해서 알아보자.

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(유튜버 소개)
    MBA(skku), 자문사 운용역, 창투사 심사역,주식 및 외환,선물 투자 경력 30 년 차.

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(연락처 공개)
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