Ukraine War: Dimensions, Impacts, and Future Perspectives

The ongoing war in Ukraine reveals complex geopolitical dynamics, with Ukraine caught between Russian aggression and Western interests.

### The Ongoing War in Ukraine: Geopolitical Dimensions and Economic Impacts
* 🌍 The war in Ukraine has two dimensions: a Russia-Ukraine conflict and a Russia-West confrontation, with the West aiming to **contain Russia in the Black Sea basin**.
* 💣 Western powers, particularly the UK and US, are seen as prolonging the war to turn Ukraine into a **quagmire for Russia**, similar to the Soviet experience in Afghanistan.
* 🇷🇺 Russia's initial military objectives, including **capturing Kyiv**, have not been fully achieved, leading to a **longer and more challenging conflict** than anticipated.
* 🏙 Life in Kyiv appears relatively normal, with **limited direct attacks on the city**, potentially due to its **symbolic and historical significance** for both Russians and Ukrainians.
* 🚢 Trade with Ukraine continues primarily via land routes through Bulgaria and Romania, with **occasional risky sea routes** despite previous agreements being broken.
* 🌾 Ukraine's agricultural sector, particularly its grain exports, remains **crucial for the country's economy and international trade**.
* 💼 The war has lasting economic impacts on both Russia and Ukraine, with Ukraine **losing its status as an economic power** and Russia facing **military losses and economic challenges**.
* 📚 The conflict's unique aspects, including **historical, cultural, and geopolitical factors**, contribute to its **complexity and ongoing nature**.

Gazeteci Yazar Deniz Berktay Ukrayna'dan bildiriyor.

Loji TV

The War in Ukraine: Questions and Insights

The speaker expresses gratitude to LOG TV viewers and journalist Deniz Berkay for joining from Ukraine.

They raise questions about the ongoing war, specifically the perceived desire of England and America for it to continue, and the strange normalcy of life in Kyiv despite the conflict.

Deniz, who has been reporting from Ukraine since 2007, offers insights and recommends his book on Ukraine's political history for those interested in learning more.

The Multi-Dimensional Conflict of the Russia-Ukraine War

The Russia-Ukraine war involves a violation of Ukraine's sovereignty by Russia, while also serving as a conflict between Russia and the West, with Ukraine as a victim.

The West, particularly America and England, is trying to establish influence in the Black Sea and contain Russia.

The war has two dimensions: Ukraine's victimization and the West's involvement, and the conflict's course has led to greater losses for Ukraine and increased territory for Russia.

The continuation of the Ukraine war is seen as a strategy by the US and UK to weaken the Russian regime, similar to the Soviet Union's quagmire in Afghanistan.

Russia's initial plans to quickly capture Kyiv failed, leading to unexpected losses and a stronger Russian economy despite Western sanctions.

The war has highlighted that the world is not solely influenced by the West, as Russia's pre-invasion preparations and backup plans helped mitigate the impact of sanctions.

Russia's Black Sea Fleet has faced constant Ukrainian strikes, leading to a withdrawal from the Crimean Peninsula and significant military losses.

The bombing of various facilities in Russia and the targeted strikes in Kyiv have altered the dynamics of the war, with the situation shifting in Russia's favor from 2023.

The historical and religious significance of Kyiv to Russians has influenced their military actions, leading to a more cautious approach in the city.

The Complex Impact of the Ongoing War in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine has a peculiar aspect, with daily life in Kyiv feeling normal despite the conflict nearby.

The war's impact is felt through frequent curfews, bombing threats, and disrupted energy infrastructure.

Russia's strategic use of cheap drones and NATO's expansion with Finland's membership are factors influencing the war's dynamics and Russia's troop deployment.

Russia's war with Ukraine is seen by some as starting in 2022 with the seizure of Crimea, which had been a period of indirect conflict since 2014.

The Russian takeover of Crimea in 2014 was bloodless, with many Ukrainian soldiers switching sides due to Russian propaganda and offers of higher salaries.

The unique similarities between Russians and Ukrainians complicate the conflict, making it different from typical territorial wars like those between Turkey and Greece.

Trade Conducted with Turkey Amid the Ukraine War

Trade with Turkey is currently happening via road through Bulgaria and Romania, while sea transportation has been disrupted by port blockades and Russian occupation.

Turkey played a key role in establishing a grain corridor agreement between Russia and Ukraine, but Russia's withdrawal from the agreement led to a re-imposition of the blockade on Ukrainian ports.

Despite the ongoing trade, Ukraine is currently trading more than Turkey, with ships following a longer and riskier route to reach Turkish waters.

Ukraine's Resilience in Grain Production Amidst War

Ukraine remains a leading country in grain production and export, despite ongoing political instability and war.

The country's fertile lands have been crucial for its survival, allowing it to export grain even during the conflict.

However, the war's prolongation has led to tensions in Europe, with local farmers struggling to cope with the impact of Ukraine's free grain exports.