Turkey's Economy: Cryptocurrency, Finance, and Predictions

The main subject is the economy. "The economy faces challenges with debts, inflation, and foreign investments, requiring strategic decision-making and potential interest rate cuts."

### Turkey's Economic Challenges and Financial Predictions
* 🇹🇷 The economic situation in Turkey is complex, with various factors affecting the country's **financial stability**.
* 💵 The exchange rate of the Turkish lira is a key concern, with predictions from foreign institutions suggesting it may reach **36-37 by the end of the year**.
* 🏦 The Central Bank's policies, including **high interest rates**, are aimed at **stabilizing the currency** and **attracting foreign investment**.
* 📉 However, there are concerns about the **sustainability of these measures**, especially in the face of **high inflation and external debt**.
* 🏗 The country's economic challenges are also reflected in **trade deficits, import patterns, and production issues**.
* 🧠 Mehmet Şimşek, the Minister of Finance and Treasury, plays a **central role** in managing these economic issues.
* 🗳 Political considerations, including **potential early elections in 2025**, add another layer of complexity to Turkey's economic outlook.
* 🔮 The future of Turkey's economy remains uncertain, with **various factors influencing its trajectory**.

Hello, I am Murat Muratoğlu, the dark lord of the economy. The incense money you see in my hand is a centuries-old tradition from the Far East. Whenever I burn it, it brings a serious change in money flow. It is placed here and as it brews slowly, it almost calls for money. Look, it has already arrived. Let me go back a bit in the story. They said, Murat, we will be the greatest in Turkey, we will need the forces of darkness. Of course, who is bitlo bitlo, my first love on YouTube, the Crypto currency exchange on the internet, bitlo.com, called me. They said, We have great respect for these people who rely on your fast narrative and cold jokes, and we want to give them a New Year's gift. Exactly 3.5 years ago, in December 2020, we gave free Crypto money to everyone with bitl. On that day, Bitcoin was around 149,000 liras, now it is 2 million 150,000 liras. But I told you that day, Look, this situation is quite good at 14400%. Isn't Trump good in the American presidential system? His promise of presidency has made America the Crypto capital and Bitcoin a superpower. This means that cryptocurrencies are

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Don't sleep, watch me with your family, relatives, and friends. Click on the link below, look at the explanations. The rest is done, there won't be any mistakes, but if there are, write below. Has it finished or not yet? How much money will it make you? Stay tuned there. Your capital is ready to spend a thousand, it has never been easier. Double your profit, let it stay with you. Join Bitlo now and take your first step into the world of cryptocurrency with advantages. Come on, let your era begin. Especially in this program, I don't narrate finished matches, I make comments. I try to tell not what happened but what will happen. So today, we will change our perspective a bit. Stop, we will change, did we change? What dream do you have in this farm? What will you plant, how much will you plant, where will you sell the product? This is the economy. So, what will you do with the money you earn? Will you save it, invest it? When you invest, will you put it in the stock market, go to the repo, or buy bonds? Ah, this is financial economics. It deals with the quality of life, can we buy a better house or car? What about red meat, which is valid for Turkey.

Can we understand the story of finance? Will the dollar rise again? When will the interest rates drop? What is the situation with loans and reserves? But these financiers are a minority; most of them are professionals. By nature, they are programmed to always look optimistically at the market. Because a large part of them makes money when the markets are doing well. If this person does everything according to his book and never makes a mistake, then they say, Okay, he's got it figured out. The Central Bank increased the interest rates, it needed to be increased. Bravo, they did the right thing, let's buy. The Central Bank decreased the interest rates, it needed to be decreased. Bravo, they did the right thing, let's buy again. Of course, when the goal is to make money from money, they won't just sit around in empty environments. When the AKP came to power in 2022, Kemal Derviş had prepared a program, which was fantastic and ready. He followed this program without deviating from its main principles until 2013. The AKP, so sweet. The late Kemal Derviş, a university professor and later worked for the World Bank, United Nations, and such, a true man of the town. Is there anyone beyond being an economist? And what about Mehmet Şimşek, he worked as a strategist and had Turkey, the Middle East, and Africa on his plate.

He conducted financial analysis on them. He even managed a fund. Despite his political career being related to the economy, he focused intensively on finance in his work life. Just as I described, since Mehmet Şimşek managed the country's economy, we also need to look at it from his perspective. Of course, our financiers are so happy about this, I swear, even Polyana would stay with them in admiration. His daughter would wonder what they are using in their heads. Mehmet Şimşek, in the field of economics, seems to have deviated from the essence of economics. He says, Let my existence be a cover for Turkish existence, as if he has eaten the minimum wage earner, civil servant, retiree, and employee like a thorn to a camel. The best model for them will be to implement that, meaning, the only thing he looks at is whether money comes from abroad, whether the dollar will not increase as much as inflation, at least until the new year, and whether it will not make money. I'm not saying this, the Central Bank says it six times. If you convert your money into Turkish lira, you will actually earn more money in foreign currency, he says and guarantees this, even if nothing weird happens. So, does the Central Bank have enough power to do this? I'm saying it very clearly, it has more than enough power.

What was the explanation on July 23rd? Look, it says here blah blah blah, what is this real appreciation in Turkish Lira that will reduce inflation, the real appreciation will not increase the dollar, it will earn Turkish Lira, reserves will seem to decrease for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It seems like the reserves are decreasing for a period, but the reason for that is sending 5 billion dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia. At least reducing the debts, it seems like the reserves are decreasing. It

He will exchange his currency, collect his interest, replace his surplus currency, and leave. Because until then, he will stay. In fact, clean money keeps coming here. Foreign investors have also believed in this situation. I will tell you the year-end predictions of the institutions. HSBC 36, Fitch 36, Deutsche Bank 37, BNP Paribas 36, Commerce Bank 35, Morgan Stanley 36, Wells Fargo 32.5. In other words, it will drop by another 50 cents. They say it will stop. My prediction is it will close around 37, 37.5 at the end of the year. Of course, this is Turkey, there is no way out from here. If they make a weird decision, things will change. But many foreign institutions at these levels believe so. If you offer nearly 4% interest per month in dollars with such low risk, because the dollar is stable, I say this, otherwise, you are actually receiving that much Turkish Lira interest, but when you convert it to dollars, you are getting 4%. Tell me, where else in the world is this? The annual interest on America's 10-year bonds is 4%. We, on the other hand, multiply that 4 by 12 months, January, February, March, November, December. It will leave a significant profit if the dollar doesn't increase. The problem is they started this policy on the wrong

The level was wrong. Don't tell me. Real effective exchange rate index. It's not just based on actual inflation figures and where it started. Many developments are included in the price. No one can calculate its real price. If it were, there would be billionaires everywhere. I will say it's not about plans and programs because there is no concrete evidence. But before that, leave the concrete, go out to the streets, compare Turkey to foreign country prices in Italy, France, Spain, London. It's expensive here. That alone is enough actually, but I will still show you why it won't work like this. The annual foreign trade deficit is 87.5 billion dollars. How did it improve? The main item of imports, raw material imports, decreased by 115%. Gold imports were banned, went underground, and worse, consumer goods imports increased by 120% between January and June. What does it mean? Since raw materials are decreasing, our production is decreasing, and since consumer goods are increasing, Turkey is no longer producing because it's expensive; goods are directly imported. Can't you do it in Turkey? You can, but if Chinese goods are cheaper, what.

You will have to deal with it, spending will be restricted as the market tightens, so the current account deficit will seem to decrease at first. But then it will bubble up badly; it will burst in a very obvious place, but you will see there will be no rush. Who the heck did this calculation again? Do they know basic math? More importantly, do they have a degree? Oh, what will you do with a degree today? Every portfolio benefiting from Turkish Lira interest will eventually turn to the main position again, it's all about the dollar, their only concern is when to turn back. But in this process, the goal is to turn to the congregation and ask, Do you have one more prayer to perform? to earn more merit, the reward is in looking at the money. As I said, none of them will stay in Turkish Lira; the decision-making phase will begin as soon as they receive their earnings. Is this enough, or should we switch to the dollar now? The gambler's dilemma is already there; direct investment does not come to this country. If you say the Chinese are coming, my son, then watch the video you shot first. They will invest before 5 cents leave their pockets. Since the decision is made, then people think like this: it's time to simplify from the automotive companies traded on the stock exchange, isn't it?

I'm telling, I'm telling, how's it going, should I get some tea? You enjoy yourselves, let me continue, this is my duty. Damn it, maybe I also have a self-confidence issue. Let it go, I don't trust anyone, not Kry trade, but some of the fund managers making significant portfolio investments in Turkey, my friends, I ask them openly, What do we have to do with the Turkish lira forever? What if the exchange rates suddenly rise? Oh, then they will incur significant losses, all their plans will fall apart. But I ask, We have insurance, they can't allow it, they say. The real story is if the exchange rates increase, inflation also increases, not actually. Because if inflation increases more than expected, everyone according to their intentions, please proceed to the funeral prayer. In situations like this, the happiness numbers of TUIK come into play anyway. Look, this Monday, the inflation figure for July will be announced. But the previous month received so much reaction, like doctor's fee 34 lira, house rent 5,000 lira, olive oil cheaper than olives. By the way, this time, I think they will announce closer to the truth, fearing %3.

If it comes out under 3.5 inches, he will never be a man under any circumstances. By God, it means he has blinded his eyes. Emir is coming from the palace, but the issue is not the exchange rate; it's another main story, the country's debts. Only a quarter of Turkey's debts are fixed interest, that is, 25%. We know how much we will pay for that part. The remaining 75% of our debt is in foreign currency. It was indexed to gold and inflation. They were all variable interest rates. If the exchange rate rises, the part indexed to foreign currency increases, and you will pay a lot. The part indexed to gold also increases, and again, you will pay a lot. Since inflation will rise, that part will also increase, and the debt to be paid will double. Therefore, keeping the exchange rate low is essential with this borrowing structure. Normally, this will continue for a long time, but during this process, these obstacles will always come up. They try to patch the budget with taxes because revenues fall short against expenses. Even if the public works as if in a feudal system, working only for the state, it is not enough to cover their expenses. My Mehmed would ask, Where did you find this money? while preparing the tax package for those who spend more money than they earn. He would bring the informal economy into the formal economy and impose new taxes on companies.

It was supposed to happen, none of it did because touching the rich exceeds Mehmet Şimşek's limits. Mehmet, give some height; look, the man is drowning. Even if it was Mehmet Şimşek himself, he couldn't reach the rich. Most of his offers didn't pass muster. The savings package turned out to be full of lies; not a penny came. Now, it's time for the 3rd Tax Package. Those with a high number of properties won't sit idle; they took the air out of the market before the stock exchange. It won't be that easy. Now, it's the second Siege of Vienna. But even if it happens, it will be a bit trimmed. He started to panic slightly. Is this guy doing it for pleasure all this time? Does he enjoy hearing curses? Is he crazy? Since it's not working out, it's clear there's no solution left. They brought the man in, and he found the bomb in his lap. The countdown has already begun. What could he have done? But even within the AKP, there was a strange antipathy towards Mehmet Şimşek. Whoever is close to the party starts with This man has gone crazy, the polls are at rock bottom. Erdogan is also trying to change the subject.

He is working on something, but he can give the good news in a nutshell. There are only 34 months of mosque stock left, so what should he do when all the gold is gone? Mehmet, how long can he endure in that seat, calculate sitting is very important. But he receives a lot of strong reactions when he takes action; all colors quickly get dirty. This time, they gave the first place to Mehmet; a friend tweeted, Leave the economy, it's now a political issue, quite simple, but not. Let me show you this way: the tweet he posted shows the number of foreign visitors to the country and tourism revenues. Mehmet Şimşek claims that there has been a significant increase. By the way, the data he received is from the Group TK under his authority. Enough, let's look at the graphs he posted again, let's read the sentence below: A positive outlook continues in tourism. How naive and innocent this expression is, right? It seems like there is an increase; the rates and graphs seem manipulated, creating a visual feast. In reality, it's like almost the same as last year, but the difference in the other graph is that they exaggerated it so much, making it seem like there is a significant increase. If he has already started to deviate to these paths, the situation is not good. Why did he need this? I wonder. It's been almost a year since Mehmet Şim

Metropol Research Company also asked, Do you think the economy in our country has been managed well or poorly recently? When they say recently, who is there recently? Mehmet Şimşek. And the results came out; 18.3% of the public thinks, Wow, the economy has been poorly managed. I have been explaining for years; I guess it is working somehow. There is no support from the public, so the program that the Financial World likes does not exist. But the economy is the concern of 85 million people. And there, you read a signboard. Pay attention; it could be me. Whatever comes to my mind, I show the door to a few with a decree about the law. But it's still too early for Mehmet because foreign investors do not forgive this mistake. Still, Mehmet Şimşek cannot enter with Erdoğan to the elections. However, if there is an early election, it will be more evident. On March 31, 2025, he said, 2 from you, 2 from me. In terms of years, things will change completely at that time. Oh, I remembered. Cevdet Akçay recently said there will be no interest rate cuts. I think it's a mistake. Since you don't increase the exchange rate so much, don't give guaranteed money, reduce the interest rates, and they will stop again.

Indeed, Goldman Sachs wrote a report saying Turkey will cut interest rates in September. JP Morgan said if interest rates are cut, Muratoğlu will sign it until October. I also think interest rates will be cut in October. I wonder if Cevdet Akçay, who signs the interest rate decision, may not know that the interest will be cut. Because they have written it confidently, what are they relying on, a great loss of prestige, really. I have more to tell, but you seem bored, ZD. But I have come up with a solution for this. I am starting to shoot short videos on this path, where I will explain important concepts, important figures, important events, important crises of the economy in a fun way for about 8 minutes. It's free for everyone who subscribes. Oh, speaking of free, click the link below, grab the money, paste it into crypto, it will last 7 days, 24 hours, put the profit in your pocket. You never know, don't deposit other money. Finish that 1000 liras, check the rest next week. I say you must have friends or acquaintances, don't act shady. Don't hear it from me, I'm putting the money in your pocket, hold on, this is just the beginning, I say my heart is with you, power is with us. K Kara Burak, my dear, Kar Burat is mine.

DOLARINIZLA VEDALAŞIN! | MURAT MURATOĞLU

Murat Muratoğlu

Offering Free Cryptocurrency: Is It a Good Idea?

com is offering free cryptocurrency to new sign-ups, with the value of Bitcoin significantly increasing since their last giveaway.

The company is encouraging people to join the world of cryptocurrency, emphasizing the potential for profit.

Murat Muratoğlu, known for his economic commentary, is promoting the offer and discussing the impact of cryptocurrency on people's lives.

The Impact of Financial Policies on the Turkish Economy

Financial professionals are inclined to maintain a positive outlook on the market to make profits.

The Turkish Central Bank is focused on reducing inflation and stabilizing the exchange rate of the Turkish lira, even at the cost of decreasing reserves.

The Central Bank's decision to send billions of dollars plus interest to Saudi Arabia is aimed at reducing debts, despite causing a temporary decrease in reserves.

Predictions for the Turkish Lira and Foreign Investment

Multiple financial institutions predict a further 50-cent drop in the value of the Turkish Lira by the end of the year.

Foreign investors are attracted to the stability of the US dollar and the high interest rates in Turkey.

The country's increasing consumer goods imports and decreasing raw material imports are leading to a decline in production, potentially causing a future economic bubble.

The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Turkey's Economy

Turkey's fund managers are concerned about the potential losses from a sudden rise in exchange rates and inflation, which could affect their portfolio investments.

The country's high percentage of debt in foreign currency and variable interest rates makes it vulnerable to increased exchange rates, leading to a significant rise in the amount to be paid.

To cover expenses and address revenue shortages, the government is considering imposing new taxes on companies and bringing the informal economy into the formal sector.

Mehmet Şimşek's Struggles and Controversies

Mehmet Şimşek has faced challenges in fulfilling his promises and enacting financial solutions.

There is growing criticism and opposition towards him, even within the AKP.

Şimşek has also come under fire for potentially manipulating data to present a positive outlook on tourism, raising further concerns about his actions and decisions.

Mehmet Şimşek's Impact on the Turkish Economy

Mehmet Şimşek is facing public criticism for his management of the economy, with 18.

There is speculation about potential interest rate cuts, with conflicting predictions from Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan.

In the midst of this, Şimşek's future in the elections and the economy remains uncertain.