>> RESONATED WITH THIS -- THE KIDS. >>> LET'S GO TO OUR FORECAST. LONNIE QUINN STANDING BY AND YOU KNOW, WE ARE JUST SO FORTUNATE TO HAVE THIS WEATHER THAT WE HAVE HAD AS WE CONTINUE TO WATCH THINGS DOWN IN FLORIDA. >> IT IS SUCH A JUXTAPOSITION TO THE OTHER HALF OF MY STORY WHICH WILL BE MORE ABOUT MILTON, BUT IN OUR AREA COME ON, WE OFTEN SAY THAT THE ONLY PROBLEM WITH FALL IN NEW YORK CITY, IT DOESN'T LAST LONG ENOUGH. IT HAS BEEN IN PLACE TODAY. IT'S CLEAR AND COOL. 61 DOWN TO YOUR COOLEST MORNING YET, 52 DEGREES FEELING LIKE FALL OUT THERE THURSDAY WE DO BOTTOM YOU OUT. IN THE MORNING

YOU'RE NOT STARTING OFF IN THE 50s FOR NEW YORK CITY. YOU'RE IN THE 40s. THE 40s OUT THERE, 30s NORTH AND WEST. THURSDAY IS A CHILLY START. WE WARM UP BY THE TIME YOU GET TO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. KEEP IN MIND WE COULD USE SOME RAIN AROUND HERE. FOR SEPTEMBER AND WHERE WE ARE IN OCTOBER, THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO MONTHS, WE ARE ALMOST 4 INCHES BELOW WHERE WE NEED TO BE. WE COULD USE SOME RAIN. IT IS NOT IN THE SEVEN-DAY FORECAST, BUT THERE IS A LOT OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH MILTON. LET ME SHOW YOU ONE MORE TIME. IT IS NOT JUST FRESHWATER RAIN, WHICH COULD BE A FOOT OF RAIN OR MORE BEFORE THE LANDFALL IS, BUT STORM SURGE.

IS GOING TO BE HUGE. THERE IS TAMPA. THERE IS FORT MEYERS. WHEREVER THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL, SOUTH OF THAT YOU ARE GOING TO SEE THE WORST SITUATION. WE ARE CONCERNED ABOUT TAMPA BECAUSE OF THE ENTRY TO TAMPA BAY. IT IS ONE WAY IN AND NO WAY OUT. ONCE THAT WATER GOES IN THERE IT'S JUST GOING TO PILE UP AND THERE IS A REAL FEAR OF IT FLOODING. WHAT HAPPENS IF IT GOES SOUTH OF TAMPA, WHICH IS WHERE IT IS FORECAST RIGHT NOW? IT IS NOT DEFINITE BUT IT IS THE HIGHER PROBABILITY. THIS HAS GOT COUNTERCLOCKWISE CIRCULATION, CIRCULATING THE AIR LIKE THIS. THAT ACTUALLY GRABS WATER. THAT WIND WILL GRAB WATER AND PULL

IT OUT OF THE BAY AND PUSH IT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS COULD ACTUALLY DRAIN THE BAY AT TIMES, AND THEN YOU WOULD PICK STORM SURGE UP ON THE BACKSIDE OF IT, BUT MAYBE 3 TO 5 FEET. IF, HOWEVER, THE LANDFALL IS 20 MILES TO THE NORTH, 20 MILES, THAT IS NOTHING IN THE WORLD OF MOTHER NATURE. IF IT IS RIGHT THERE, HERE'S A COUNT OF CHRONIC -- COUNTERCLOCKWISE SPIN. THIS IS NOW GRABBING THE WATER HERE AND THROWING IT RIGHT INTO THE BAY. THAT FILLS UP. THAT IS HOW YOU GET THE 10 TO 15 FOOT SURGE. THE BIGGER PICTURE IS GOING TO SHOW YOU AS IT PUSHES THROUGH THE PENINSULA OF FLORIDA, AS IT IS EXITING,

IT IS THE EXACT OPPOSITE. NOW, IT IS FLOODING AREAS NORTH OF WHEREVER LANDFALL IS. THAT IS WHY STORM SURGE WARNINGS ARE UP ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA. IT IS A STORM SPECIFICALLY FOR FLORIDA THAT DOES NOT GO UP INTO APPALACHIA.

First Alert Forecast: Coolest morning of the season Wednesday in New York - 10/8/24

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