U.S.-China Hegemonic War: Geopolitical Challenges and Financial Limitations

China struggles to achieve significant financial progress without Western capital amidst ongoing geopolitical challenges.

### China's Struggle for Financial Power
China's financial sector is heavily reliant on **Western capital**, limiting its global influence. The U.S. is implementing a **containment strategy** in response to China's rise, causing difficulties for the latter. While China may be a G2 power in the Pacific, it struggles to catch up in key areas, particularly finance, which is **interconnected with its current crises**.

### Japan's Unique Status and China's Geopolitical Challenges
Japan's rising soccer ranking reflects its impressive status, particularly in finance, with a **high issuance of government bonds relative to GDP** and a **strong domestic purchasing base**. The country's wealthy individuals, descendants of aristocrats, exhibit a unique sense of patriotism, covering potential losses and **strengthening Japan's bond market**. In contrast, China faces significant geopolitical challenges, with **nuclear-armed neighbors** and a **confined maritime space**, making it difficult for the country to **overcome its geopolitical crisis** and raising questions about the **risk of a Taiwanese invasion**.

### Potential Scenarios Following the U.S. Presidential Election
Experts gathered to work on a book coinciding with the U.S. presidential election, each sharing presentation materials. The content was set to align with the election outcome, but the focus was on **Bitcoin and the possibility of a third option**. The speaker outlined a scenario of **civil unrest and potential war**, highlighting the **low but existent likelihood** of such an outcome, which could **disrupt U.S. military actions and raise significant concerns**.

### China's Potential Global Influence and Korea's Role
China's potential to take over US hegemony is unlikely, but it may gain influence in the South Pacific, potentially impacting **freedoms like press and voting rights**. The US's rapid withdrawal from the South Pacific to counter China is now seen as **unbeneficial**, with a shift in consensus among political parties. Trump supporters exhibit **isolationist views on Taiwan**, showing mixed opinions on sending troops in case of an invasion, while Harris is perceived as **slightly more skilled in handling global issues**.

### Trump's Dominance and Geopolitical Impact
Trump is leading in various areas, especially in swing states, with a **strong stance on international relations**. The U.S. has historically drawn lines around vital interests, but this approach can create **ambiguity and potentially lead to war**. Trump's **clear and assertive demeanor** is seen as a strength, with some believing that his return to power could **deter aggressive moves from leaders like Xi Jinping**.

### The Impact of Geopolitical Crises on Bitcoin
Taiwan's situation could lead to a confrontation, with leaders like Trump struggling to **maintain their reputation**. Bitcoin's price typically drops during geopolitical crises, as it can be **quickly liquidated**. However, as the super-rich seek to **hold valuable assets**, a shift may occur, potentially causing Bitcoin's price to **rise during a banking crisis**.

### The Complex Dynamics of U.S.-China Relations and Geopolitical Risks
* 🌏 China's financial sector struggles to progress without Western capital, highlighting its **limitations in the global financial landscape**.
* ⚔ The atmosphere surrounding the potential for civil unrest in the U.S. mirrors the 2020 elections, with fears that a **similar situation could arise if election results are contested**.
* 📉 Despite claims of being a G2, China is not on par with the U.S. globally, though it holds **significant regional power** in the Pacific and South China Sea.
* 🏦 Japan's strong financial position, characterized by **high government bond issuance and domestic purchasing**, contrasts sharply with China's financial vulnerabilities, especially in **real estate**.
* 🌊 Geopolitically, China faces unique challenges, being **surrounded by nuclear-armed neighbors**, which complicates its ambitions in the **South Pacific**.
* 📊 The likelihood of a civil war in the U.S. due to contested elections is perceived to be **over 10%**, raising concerns about America's ability to **respond to international crises**.
* 🤔 If China were to gain hegemony, it would likely lead to a world order where **freedoms are curtailed**, particularly in the **South Pacific region**.
* 💰 During geopolitical crises, Bitcoin tends to **drop in value**; however, its price may **surge during banking crises** as wealthy individuals seek to **secure valuable assets**.

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* 출연신청 & 제휴 및 광고문의 : ssid@dpnstud.io
