The Bitcoin market is experiencing a confusing situation where it seems to rise significantly and then fall, or vice versa, in a repetitive cycle. At this point, perspectives on rising and falling are divided. Today, I will clearly and refreshingly explain my viewpoint on this matter. The scenario of a Bitcoin upheaval starts now. 

Hello, I am T. Sol Daesaeng. Bitcoin seems to be rising, but after some adjustments, it is ultimately continuing to hover. It appears that the current moment is one where both bullish and bearish perspectives are very mixed. I will confidently explain my viewpoint today as well. This video will also be very important for those investing in spot trading, so please make sure to watch until the end.

Before starting the first point of October, let’s revisit my perspective from September. On September 7th, my bullish perspective was accurate. On September 10th, after a correction at 55.5k, my bullish perspective was again correct. On September 14th...

After adjusting up to the 58k range, the bullish perspective was confirmed on September 19 and again on September 25. Despite many people claiming that September would be a month of decline, I steadfastly and confidently proclaimed a bullish outlook. Ultimately, this led to a rise of over 20% in Bitcoin from the point I made that declaration. As a result, my Binance sub-account has realized profits of $50,000 and unrealized profits of $30,000 while holding. My main account's long position at 55.6k is still being held as well. I was aware that there was a high probability that September would be a declining market. However, I shared what I saw in the charts with unwavering confidence, regardless of what others said. Thanks to that, it turned out to be a month with quite good results. Moving forward, I will continue to share everything honestly and without hesitation.

Please don't just skip over this conversation. It only takes three seconds, so I kindly ask you to subscribe and like this video. Subscribing doesn't cost anything; it's just a light gesture to say, I appreciate your hard work. It truly gives me great strength. Thank you always. 

Without further ado, let's discuss the current perspective. I will look at the upward trend again. I will explain why I believe in this upward trend, so please follow along closely. 

Before explaining my perspective, as you can see, there is a briefing perspective-sharing group that runs every day throughout the early morning. It doesn't cost anything, so please refer to the pinned comment. 

Now, let's dive into the explanation of my perspective. The first reason is the daily trend. There is a crucial point to consider: the trend reversal. You might say that discussing a trend reversal at this point is premature, but that's not the case. According to Dow Theory, a downward trend is characterized by consistently lower highs and lower lows.

The term lowering form refers to a trend where the lows and highs are continuously decreasing, while an upward trend is characterized by consistently higher lows and highs. Applying this to the daily chart, we can see that Bitcoin has maintained a downward trend for the past six months, with both lows and highs decreasing. However, it has recently surpassed the previous high of 65.1k, marking the first upward trend in six months, where the lows and highs are increasing. I believe this is a very important signal that cannot be ignored. Therefore, I will adopt a strategy of accumulating long positions as it dips, anticipating an upward movement. This is the first reason. The second reason is based on the weekly Bollinger Bands and candles. In the last weekly candle, we saw a clear support form at the 20-day line, and the candle closed definitively above the upper band of the 20-day line. Simply put, the fact that the candle closed above the 20-day line indicates that...

It is not just important; what matters is that the Bollinger Bands have closed above the 20-day moving average while being parallel. To explain the significance of parallel Bollinger Bands through backtesting, we can see that when the Bollinger Bands are parallel, there are rebounds from the lower band to the upper band repeatedly. As you can see, when it touches the lower Bollinger Band, it tends to bounce back to the upper band. 

Currently, if we apply this to the chart, the weekly Bollinger Bands are in a parallel formation, closing above the 20-day moving average with the candles finishing in that position. Therefore, I believe that based on the characteristics of the Bollinger Bands, there will be an upward movement towards the upper range. This is my second reason. 

For my third reason, let's discuss Tether dominance. For those who are not familiar with Tether dominance, let me briefly explain it.

Bitcoin has an inverse relationship. When Tether dominance rises, Bitcoin falls, and when Tether dominance falls, Bitcoin rises. Returning to the Tether dominance hourly chart, we can observe a typical channel with a fake-out. A fake-out occurs when there is a breakout above or below the channel, and then the price returns inside the channel, creating a pattern that moves to the opposite side. Currently, as seen in the 4-hour chart, a classic channel fake-out has occurred, and after the retest, the price is in a downward trend. There is still plenty of space remaining near the bottom of the channel, so I believe Tether dominance will decline further. If that happens, Bitcoin will rise. This is my third reason. Finally, the trend of the head and shoulders pattern is the last reason. Currently, Bitcoin is on the 4-hour chart.

It seems that many people are claiming the presence of a head and shoulders pattern. However, when I observe these chart patterns, I tend to review them in the context of trends. What this means is that there are certain trends during specific periods when certain patterns appear more frequently. At times, the head and shoulders pattern emerges prominently, while at other times, the cup and handle pattern is more common. This understanding of trends is essential. However, in my observations over the past year, the accuracy rate of the head and shoulders pattern has been extremely low. The head and shoulders pattern is a trend that has a low reliability. If you conduct a backtest, you will find that after the head and shoulders pattern occurs, there is often a breakthrough of the previous high. As you can see, there are many instances of this pattern leading to subsequent highs.

The occurrences of the head and shoulders pattern were almost nonexistent, and instead, many instances of the head and shoulders shoulder dislocation pattern appeared, which seemed to mimic the head and shoulders pattern. This tendency can trigger short positions among retail investors, and ironically, this can be used to push prices upward. One should never jump to conclusions before a confirmation occurs, such as a break of the neckline or other reference lines of the pattern. Please refrain from making the mistake of prematurely predicting such patterns. This is the final reason for the upward trend. In conclusion, the first reason is the daily trend according to Dow theory; the second is the weekly Bollinger candles; the third is Tether dominance; and the fourth is the head and shoulders trend. Based on these four reasons, I still foresee an upward movement, and regardless of what anyone says, I will continue to look for upward opportunities. So, how will you respond? First, I...

내리면 내리는 대로 대롱 관점을 유지하여 단타롱 포지션을 취할 생각입니다. 더불어 저는 55k 대의 롱 포지션과 58k 대의 롱 포지션을 홀딩 중에 있는데, 현재 4시간 봉에서 등장할 수 있어 보이는 축적 패턴인 쓰리 마켓 패턴이 등장했습니다. 61.5k와 60.5k 구간이 오면 불타기를 진행해 볼 생각입니다. 후석 관점들은 모두 텔에 남겨드릴 테니 고정 댓글 참고해 주세요. 오늘 관점은 여기까지입니다. 오늘도 시청해 주셔서 감사드립니다. 감사합니다, 차이였습니다.

비트코인, 이번 영상은 반드시 새겨보세요. "혼자" 모르고 있다가 땅을 치고 후회합니다.

비트코인/ 알트코인 파동 트레이더입니다. 


- 모든 관점 공유 및 기타 차트 공부 자료는 거래대상·시점·가액에 대한 추천이나 권유
  가 아닌 말 그대로 “공부”가 목적이며, “참고”만 해주시길 바랍니다.
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  이에 따른 모든 선택과 책임은 “본인”에게 있습니다.
- 모든 유튜브 및 방 인원간의 금전거래, 개인정보 수집을 일절 금지합니다. 
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  으로 분류될 수 있습니다. 기본적으로 금지를 원칙으로 하며, 절대 책임질 수 없습니다.
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  받고 있음을 밝힙니다.
- 친구추천 링크(레퍼럴 링크)를 통해 가입하는 것은 이용자 선택이며, 강요는 없습니다.
- “미성년자”의 타인명의 도용, 방 활동은 절대 허용하지 않습니다.
- 공유된 모든 자료의 저작권은 “차설”에게 귀속되어 있습니다. 
  허가없이 무단으로 수집, 유포, 재창작시 이러한 권리를 침해한 것으로 간주하여 
  민·형사상의 책임을 물을 수 있습니다.

