Hello, nice to meet you. Let's start the briefing on September 4th. The landlords in Daegu are throwing everything away; it's heartbreaking. The new properties in Daegu are facing a crisis. A video by a real estate scientist has garnered an incredible 140,000 views. One video has generated enough views to cover an entire year’s worth of content. If I upload four videos a month, that’s enough for a whole year. Every time I see something like this, I can’t help but wonder if what I’m doing is right. It’s frustrating. So, I kindly ask for your support for platforms like Coupang. 

Reports of record-high sales are coming in, and the supply is drastically decreasing. If I only watch the daily economic news, it feels overwhelming. In Suseong-gu, apartment prices have increased by 100 million won. We need to examine which properties have seen this increase. The contract rate for a complex that was at 1% has jumped to 70% in just one month after being re-sold. Which property is this? It’s the Daegu Daemyung Jayeon, a remarkable turnaround.

The energy is rising. In some complexes in Seongseo-gu, there are reports of record-high prices. This is the overall direction to boost the real estate market. Moreover, there were transactions at Namsan for as high as 800 million won and 830 million won, but those are just rumors circulating. And in just a year and a half, we are seeing prices return to what they were in February, which was the lowest point. They are saying it was around 730 million won for the transaction value. Generally, this was the price at which transactions were formed, but now there is a rally of record-high prices, and it's causing a stir. In Manchon, the price reached 1.08 billion won, and even the lowest price has been reported to be unusual. Discussions about this are ongoing. It's a big deal. The price of Beomho W reached 1.35 billion won, which is also a huge deal. It seems like it needs to be purchased immediately. Ultimately, what is the core of this lengthy discussion? Recently, some complexes have reopened their model homes and have raised concerns about their sales. The Daegu Nam-gu development, Daemyung JAI Grand City, has seen a contract rate nearing 70%. However, this is...

This is news from September 3rd. I visited a model home around mid-August, and at that time, almost all the properties were sold out. I cannot discern what the truth is. Anyway, despite the long news report claiming that the real estate market is booming, the number of unsold properties is not what it used to be. The number one city for unsold properties is no longer the same. In a city with a population of 14 million, which is just over 10,000 properties, and a city with a population of 2.3 million, which is also just over 10,000 properties, when comparing these two, it seems like the situation has changed dramatically. I get the impression that they are advertising very cleverly. There are also other things mentioned. In Daegu, where very competent and outstanding members in real estate gather, the atmosphere was briefly observed. The house prices have risen, creating chaos. The mood has shifted instantly into a rising phase. Observing the competition in real estate sentiment is the most accurate indicator.

In Daegu, there are signals of a rising market. As you can see from the views, this is a local gathering space. There are some amazing phrases here, and I've brought a few. If you give up on having children, you won't need marriage; if you give up on marriage, you won't need to date; if you give up on dating, you won't need to live earnestly. It seems that many people are lying down and giving up. There are many discussions about whether this is stagnation or not. If the number of dining out decreases, if you can't go to the supermarket freely, and if you can't play golf, then that is stagnation. Are you thinking about dining out tonight, or is it stagnation? What is this stagnation? Is it like kimchi? Is it a Korean word? The origin is here. It relates to the word for to soak, referring to soaking vegetables for making watery kimchi. If you are thinking about dining out tonight, then you are not in stagnation. However, if you are thinking about eating in stagnation, then perhaps you are indeed in stagnation.

I am experiencing difficulties as a one-home tenant living in a rental unit. Various reasons are being presented by banks that promise to provide guidance on rental loans. This situation is quite distressing. The issues seem to be cyclical; for instance, the banks and the Financial Supervisory Service discuss the situation, questioning whether banks are providing too many loans. Consequently, banks are struggling with this problem. They realize they need to reduce loans, but they have no viable solutions. So, what do they do? They raise interest rates. However, this leads to complaints about the excessively high interest rates. As a result, they temporarily halt the increase in interest rates and begin to restrict rental loans. Today, the bank president has also raised concerns, questioning whether they are excessively limiting rental loans. The problem, however, escalates from other areas. As I mentioned earlier, the overall situation...

Among the loans going out in four minutes, one is subject to DSR regulations, while three are exceptions to DSR, which actually speeds up the process. The cases that were previously exempt from DSR will gradually be included under DSR. Ultimately, the impact will inevitably be passed on to someone else. Since the first mortgage and first financial sector are being restricted, people are turning to the second financial sector. I mentioned Samsung Life yesterday. The current market is not like when there was a balloon; when one side of the balloon was pressed, the other side would pop up. We should not think of the market that way. Right now, the entire balloon is being pressed down together. This situation is perceived as a similar scenario in the financial sector. As Samsung Life is trying to grow, they have quickly expanded. On the same day, on the 3rd, there will be an immediate announcement that we will not be providing loans, at least from Samsung Life.

Among the secondary financial institutions, it was the place with the lowest mortgage interest rate. For example, Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance has rates that exceed 4%. It will be around the mid-4% range. Life insurance has already cut its rates. The same goes for other secondary financial institutions; they are all in a state of cutting rates. It's a comprehensive downward trend. However, numerous experts say that the atmosphere can change instantly, signaling a rise in the market and the emergence of a bull market. I cannot believe it. You know that, right? 

The selling volume has reached 39,174, and we are once again seeing over 3,000 units. As for Busan, the numbers have increased, then slightly decreased, but it continues to hit record highs throughout the year. In terms of supply, Daegu also claims to have a lot of units available, but looking at the past decade, Busan has had a higher supply relative to its population. Furthermore, prices have dropped less than in Daegu. Nevertheless, listings are flooding the market. This is not just a problem unique to Daegu; similar trends are seen in other regional prices as well.

Yesterday, Mr. Lee Sang-hyun left two very long comments. I feel that if I argue and counter-argue, it will only hurt our feelings, so I will not respond further. However, the comments disappeared today. The video is still there; I usually make it members-only when it exceeds about 2,000 views. This is not to encourage membership sign-ups. Given the financial pressure and the number of people who tend to argue, many express their anger. I don’t understand why I am being perceived negatively. Where else can you find someone who works as hard as I do? I post videos without fail every day. Is there anyone else who works this hard? Just before filming the video, a comment came in regarding the Moon Jae-in administration.

I remember that regulations have become stricter, and real estate prices have continued to rise. Seoul is already accelerating, and the market is gradually gearing up. There shouldn't be any such occurrences now; they must not happen. There was a comment about this, but what I recall is not just the Moon Jae-in administration but also the period after lending was cut off in 2021, from the final phase of Moon Jae-in to the early days of Yoon Suk-yeol's government. The commonality between then and now is the tremendous financial pressure. Discussions about total lending limits are emerging, and while some say they remember the Moon Jae-in administration as having become stricter, it seemed that the more regulations there were, the higher prices went. However, now all regulations have been lifted. With all regulations eased, it is difficult to suppress the market with money. The rental market has also started to rebound. This is the part I mentioned earlier, that the volume of properties for sale is increasing.

Once it starts, there’s nothing you can do; since it’s not selling, transactions aren’t happening as much as expected. The rental supply might increase as well, so you need to keep an eye on that. Regarding the transaction volume, I’ll just focus on the latter part without marking the front. There were 166 transactions, and in the worst-case scenario, the volume could drop to 13 by the end of the year. You remember this yellow line, right? As soon as the special rental support ended, the atmosphere completely changed. It seems we are preparing for a similar cooling down now. If we simulate transaction volumes during similar periods, it slightly exceeds 1,900, but the volume is expected to decrease. Let’s take a look at the transaction prices. Hills State is really impressive! So, what’s the first thing you need to look at? The apartments with a lot of transactions are the newly built ones. What should we check first? Yes, the year of construction.

You can see it’s a 2020 apartment. After going around once, and then again, some people realize a profit from the price difference. That’s why the trading volume inevitably increases. In 2022, when I tried to sell it, the market price was very low. So, after going around twice and selling, you have to go through these processes. However, during the process of disposing of existing housing, issues may arise again. In any case, there will inevitably be a lot of transactions. When the market conditions are favorable, this happens. If the timing is right, I could sell at a good price. For instance, the Beliv Burmer is priced at 1.28 billion won, and it seems like there have been quite a few transactions recently. Shall we skip ahead a bit? Yes, let’s skip over the larger units. Just before going below 600 million won, which neighborhood would be good?

Where should we invest? Recently, those who have children in the academic year will probably relate a lot to this. Under the current entrance exam system, it seems that following the tail of the dragon strategy is not effective. If a repeat student takes the college entrance exam, there are 340,000 current students and 170,000 repeat students, resulting in a very abnormal structure. Following the tail of the dragon strategy often leads to such situations. Because we need to move strategically regarding students and related school districts, the head of the snake strategy is becoming more effective. Instead of being the tail of the dragon, we aim to be the head of the snake. To become the head of the snake, in Daegu, if you pay a little more than 600 million won, you can become the head of the snake. This is the price range among newly built properties, where the location is somewhat favorable.

If it falls, then around the mid-500 million won range, like in the Daegu Opera area in Goseong-dong, right? Goseong-dong is about 540,000, which is truly remarkable in the old downtown area of Daegu. Is anyone talking about the old downtown of Daegu right now? Since the distribution has ended, no one seems to be discussing the old downtown anymore, right? Yes, that's correct. Everyone is just buying and selling; it's a really high-level strategic game. I don't even look at a single post on the bulletin board. It seems like there are intentions behind everything there. Looking at apartments in the 500 million won range, I saw Hyundai I-Park at around 500 million won, and yesterday there were some at 450 million won, even 480 million won for about 1,700. This price can be considered as the average current situation. The second phase is averaging around 520,000 to 530,000 won. Chim-san-dong is a nice neighborhood. In Chim-san-dong, Chim-san 1st Sa Prugio is at 470 million won, with a peak price of 625 million won for Hanul-dang Seohwan Forest.

For a 28-pyeong apartment priced at 450 million won, I think this place looks the best. However, for those who like to name things based on subway lines like Line 1 or Line 2, I don’t really see a reason to live here. I don’t need to go to department stores or the city center. The Hillstate Dasay station is trading at 450 million won, and the Forest is at 440 million won. These are apartments from 2022 and 2020, and it seems that even-numbered year apartments are trading more frequently this year. Suddenly, I realize that my eyes only see even numbers. I could see odd numbers, but it seems like there are more even ones. What is going on? Even, even, even, even, even, even... This could also include odd numbers. Anyway, there’s a variety, and I see that recent transactions are being reported continuously, with prices around 10 million won per pyeong.

Look, in Chimsa-dong, the second phase of the Ssangyong Yeoga has 657 units. The number of units is neither too few nor too many. It's an apartment built in 2013, making it about 10 years old. At its peak, it was priced at 540 million won, but now it's at 370 million won, a 32% decrease. It's not even a low-rise building. Just this much is more than enough; it's overflowing. When considering the standards of middle-class families in Daegu, it's more than sufficient. Apartments priced at 1 million won per pyeong are really returning to prices from around 2016 or 2017. The Dongseo Prime near the Gyeongdae Station is priced at 340 million won. Right next to it, there's the newly built Prugio at Gyeongdae Station, and the prices for those are generally around 600 million won, or slightly above. For places that are less than 10 years old, the prices are about half of that, and they are just as good as new. If you just do some wallpaper and finish work, they will look like new homes, priced between 330 million and 580 million won.

I went there, and compared to the peak of 300 million won, it's down by 46%. The Hyosung Harrington Place near Hakjeong Station, which is 16 years old, is now at 310 million won. The Ubangtang Complex 2 also peaked at a staggering price. It's truly shocking, everyone. Today's broadcast is getting too long. I should have talked about the Sangin Central Jai. I was really prepared to discuss it today, but the video is getting too lengthy. Let's stop here for today. Please look at the decline rate; look at the decline rate. However, experts in Daegu have very different opinions from mine. The experts say that the prices are rising, and there's a chaotic atmosphere with a sudden increase in real estate sentiment. There are signs of a booming market everywhere, and Daegu is the starting point of this real estate boom. Let's quickly move on to the next part.

I will show you. I don't know the rental price well. The transaction amounts in Busan have dropped, and the same goes for Seoul. Daejeon might not be at an expensive level either. You can see that expensive apartments are being traded less frequently. That's it for today's video. Thank you very much for spending this long time with us. I couldn't really see the rental prices separately. I mentioned that the interest rates for rental loans are rising, right? It's not just the mortgage interest rates that have increased by 1%. The interest rates for rental loans have also gone up by 1%. That's burdensome. Thank you for watching.

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